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Trump's Endgame for Last Two Years in Washington

The US president plans to focus on his final two years in office.

1 publisher · 1 article · first seen 31 Oct 2026 · updated 2d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The odds

How the odds moved · Before his term ends
0%50%100%21%30 Sept, 01:42 UTCnowNews Feed: Donald Trump’s endgame · 31 Oct, 05:00 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now21%
2 Nov, 03:06 UTC21%
2 Nov, 02:58 UTC22%
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8 Oct, 21:41 UTC17%
8 Oct, 18:27 UTC18%
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3 Oct, 17:49 UTC17%
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3 Oct, 07:38 UTC17%
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3 Oct, 00:42 UTC16%
3 Oct, 00:29 UTC17%
2 Oct, 23:39 UTC17%
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2 Oct, 17:59 UTC18%
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2 Oct, 07:49 UTC18%
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2 Oct, 04:59 UTC19%
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2 Oct, 03:55 UTC18%
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2 Oct, 01:33 UTC17%
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2 Oct, 00:10 UTC18%
1 Oct, 23:32 UTC20%
1 Oct, 23:25 UTC18%
1 Oct, 22:33 UTC17%
1 Oct, 22:13 UTC17%
1 Oct, 21:59 UTC19%
1 Oct, 21:09 UTC19%
1 Oct, 20:49 UTC17%
1 Oct, 20:22 UTC20%
1 Oct, 19:55 UTC19%
1 Oct, 19:27 UTC18%
1 Oct, 18:50 UTC18%
1 Oct, 18:05 UTC18%
1 Oct, 17:57 UTC20%
1 Oct, 17:14 UTC17%
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1 Oct, 15:50 UTC19%
1 Oct, 15:27 UTC19%
1 Oct, 14:21 UTC18%
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1 Oct, 11:53 UTC19%
1 Oct, 04:44 UTC18%
1 Oct, 03:27 UTC19%
1 Oct, 02:29 UTC19%
30 Sept, 01:42 UTC17%

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 31 Oct 2026. News Feed published first, on 31 October at 05:00 UTC.

2 prediction markets price this story:

  • Before his term ends — the market puts it at 21%, with $8k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 21 Jan 2029. The market resolves to Yes if the U.S. President elected for the 2025–2029 term resigns from office before their term ends. It resolves to No if they do not resign within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a call for resignation as the triggering event, but only an actual resignation counts.
  • Before his term ends — the market puts it at 20%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Jan 2029. The outcome is Yes if the U.S. President is impeached by the House of Representatives and convicted by the Senate before January 20, 2029. The outcome is No if this does not happen within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about firing aides for the actual impeachment process.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Donald Trump’s endgame News Feed ·

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Before his term ends 21% −1 $8k 24hends 21 Jan 2029

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Before his term ends 20% +1 $2k 24hends 20 Jan 2029

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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