Trump’s coal drive plays into Beijing’s hands
An agreement on Chinese coal purchases reflects the administration’s misplaced focus.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 13% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 13% |
| 23 Sept, 09:28 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 09:14 UTC | 8% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 30 Sept 2026. News Feed published first, on 30 September at 11:00 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- China — the market puts it at 13%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a free trade deal with China becomes law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or via a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed by the President before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the announcement of talks for the actual passage of legislation.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi China 13%
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In this story
- Donald Trump
- Beijing