Trump Pours Promises on Alaska as GOP Defends Senate Seat

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 19 Oct 2026. politico.com published first, on 19 October at 20:00 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? — the market puts it at 26%, with $29k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 4 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Dan Sullivan wins the 2026 Alaska Senate election, including any required run-offs. It resolves to No if he loses that race. Readers often mistake the deadline for the final vote count instead of the date when all three specified news sources call the winner.
• Dan Sullivan, 0-3% — the market puts it at 29%, closing 2 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Dan Sullivan wins the 2026 Alaska Senate election by a margin between 0% and 3%. The margin must be at least 0% but strictly less than 3%. Readers often mistake the upper bound, thinking a 3% victory counts as Yes when it actually triggers a No resolution.
• Dan Sullivan — the market puts it at 25%, with $5k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if Dan Sullivan wins the 2026 Alaska Senate election. The outcome is No if he does not win. Readers often mistake the date of the linked debate for the resolution deadline.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.