Trump Jokes He Has Right to Run for Third Term Despite Constitution

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 2 articles since 23 Oct 2026. The Guardian US published first, on 23 October at 16:18 UTC. The most recent article, from The Guardian US, appeared on 23 October at 19:30 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Before Jan 1, 2029 — the market puts it at 8%, with $269 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2029. The outcome is Yes if the 22nd Amendment repeals itself through a new Constitutional Amendment or if the Supreme Court rules that it allows someone to be elected president three times before January 1, 2029. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Readers often mistake public jokes or political statements for legal changes, but only official constitutional amendments or binding Supreme Court judgments count.
• Before Election Day — the market puts it at 17%, with $22 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Nov 2028. The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump announces his intention to run for U.S. President in 2028 before November 7, 2028. The outcome is No if he does not make such an announcement by that date. Readers often mistake the sale of a Thomas Jefferson letter for the relevant event, but only Trump's specific announcement counts toward resolution.
• During Trump's term — the market puts it at 8%, closing 20 Jan 2029. The market resolves to Yes if the United States adds a new constitutional amendment before January 20, 2029. It resolves to No if no such amendment is added by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about D.C. security proposals for the actual event required for resolution.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.