During Trump's term
Implied probability 9%+1
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$40k
Liquidity$40k
Resolves20 Jan 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 9% |
| 26 Sept, 03:23 UTC | 9% |
| 24 Sept, 21:10 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Sept, 20:52 UTC | 9% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the United States adds a new constitutional amendment before January 20, 2029. It resolves to No if no such amendment is added by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about D.C. security proposals for the actual event required for resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 9%
- No 91%