Trump Approval Rating Falls to Career Low of 32 Percent in New Poll
A Reuters/Ipsos poll shows US President Donald Trump’s approval rating has dropped to 32 percent, marking the lowest point of his political career.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 32% |
| 25 Sept, 20:46 UTC | 32% |
| 24 Sept, 16:54 UTC | 31% |
| 24 Sept, 12:23 UTC | 32% |
| 24 Sept, 11:55 UTC | 32% |
| 24 Sept, 11:09 UTC | 33% |
| 24 Sept, 10:41 UTC | 32% |
| 24 Sept, 10:12 UTC | 33% |
| 24 Sept, 09:43 UTC | 32% |
| 24 Sept, 09:22 UTC | 33% |
| 24 Sept, 04:43 UTC | 32% |
| 24 Sept, 03:39 UTC | 32% |
| 24 Sept, 01:51 UTC | 32% |
| 23 Sept, 22:12 UTC | 32% |
| 23 Sept, 21:43 UTC | 33% |
| 23 Sept, 21:29 UTC | 34% |
| 23 Sept, 20:34 UTC | 34% |
| 23 Sept, 20:20 UTC | 33% |
| 23 Sept, 19:47 UTC | 33% |
| 23 Sept, 14:40 UTC | 27% |
| 23 Sept, 09:57 UTC | 26% |
| 23 Sept, 09:06 UTC | 25% |
| 23 Sept, 08:53 UTC | 25% |
| 23 Sept, 07:27 UTC | 25% |
| 22 Sept, 23:28 UTC | 23% |
| 22 Sept, 17:36 UTC | 27% |
| 22 Sept, 17:20 UTC | 27% |
| 22 Sept, 12:11 UTC | 28% |
| 22 Sept, 11:27 UTC | 27% |
| 22 Sept, 02:13 UTC | 27% |
| 21 Sept, 20:48 UTC | 27% |
| 21 Sept, 15:29 UTC | 25% |
| 21 Sept, 13:24 UTC | 25% |
| 21 Sept, 12:43 UTC | 25% |
| 21 Sept, 11:44 UTC | 25% |
| 21 Sept, 10:10 UTC | 25% |
| 21 Sept, 09:56 UTC | 26% |
| 21 Sept, 09:16 UTC | 26% |
| 21 Sept, 08:24 UTC | 26% |
| 21 Sept, 07:28 UTC | 26% |
| 21 Sept, 06:19 UTC | 26% |
| 21 Sept, 05:55 UTC | 25% |
| 21 Sept, 05:09 UTC | 26% |
| 21 Sept, 04:50 UTC | 25% |
| 21 Sept, 04:00 UTC | 26% |
| 21 Sept, 02:55 UTC | 25% |
| 21 Sept, 00:38 UTC | 27% |
| 21 Sept, 00:24 UTC | 26% |
| 20 Sept, 23:08 UTC | 26% |
| 20 Sept, 22:05 UTC | 27% |
| 20 Sept, 21:46 UTC | 26% |
| 20 Sept, 17:52 UTC | 26% |
| 20 Sept, 17:18 UTC | 26% |
| 20 Sept, 16:29 UTC | 26% |
| 20 Sept, 09:35 UTC | 23% |
| 20 Sept, 08:57 UTC | 23% |
| 20 Sept, 08:07 UTC | 23% |
| 19 Sept, 22:08 UTC | 23% |
| 19 Sept, 20:57 UTC | 24% |
| 19 Sept, 19:32 UTC | 24% |
| 19 Sept, 19:25 UTC | 23% |
| 19 Sept, 18:16 UTC | 24% |
| 19 Sept, 16:55 UTC | 23% |
| 19 Sept, 15:43 UTC | 24% |
| 19 Sept, 14:28 UTC | 24% |
| 19 Sept, 13:10 UTC | 24% |
| 19 Sept, 12:27 UTC | 25% |
| 19 Sept, 10:15 UTC | 24% |
| 19 Sept, 09:13 UTC | 23% |
| 19 Sept, 08:59 UTC | 24% |
| 18 Sept, 05:25 UTC | 25% |
| 18 Sept, 04:39 UTC | 24% |
| 18 Sept, 04:20 UTC | 24% |
| 18 Sept, 03:59 UTC | 24% |
| 18 Sept, 03:19 UTC | 24% |
| 18 Sept, 02:44 UTC | 25% |
| 18 Sept, 01:59 UTC | 24% |
| 18 Sept, 01:29 UTC | 24% |
| 17 Sept, 22:15 UTC | 25% |
| 17 Sept, 21:18 UTC | 25% |
| 17 Sept, 20:59 UTC | 24% |
| 17 Sept, 17:35 UTC | 26% |
| 17 Sept, 17:27 UTC | 26% |
| 17 Sept, 16:54 UTC | 26% |
| 17 Sept, 07:34 UTC | 26% |
| 17 Sept, 07:28 UTC | 26% |
| 17 Sept, 06:55 UTC | 27% |
| 17 Sept, 06:25 UTC | 27% |
| 17 Sept, 05:52 UTC | 27% |
| 17 Sept, 05:05 UTC | 28% |
| 17 Sept, 04:55 UTC | 27% |
| 17 Sept, 04:04 UTC | 28% |
| 17 Sept, 03:53 UTC | 28% |
| 16 Sept, 23:08 UTC | 27% |
| 16 Sept, 22:51 UTC | 27% |
| 16 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 27% |
| 16 Sept, 21:27 UTC | 27% |
| 16 Sept, 20:50 UTC | 25% |
| 16 Sept, 17:01 UTC | 24% |
| 16 Sept, 16:31 UTC | 23% |
| 16 Sept, 14:30 UTC | 23% |
| 16 Sept, 14:12 UTC | 23% |
| 16 Sept, 13:57 UTC | 22% |
| 16 Sept, 12:33 UTC | 23% |
| 16 Sept, 12:18 UTC | 23% |
| 16 Sept, 11:47 UTC | 23% |
| 16 Sept, 11:26 UTC | 23% |
| 16 Sept, 10:54 UTC | 22% |
| 16 Sept, 10:11 UTC | 23% |
| 16 Sept, 09:47 UTC | 23% |
| 16 Sept, 09:19 UTC | 23% |
| 16 Sept, 05:04 UTC | 23% |
| 16 Sept, 04:57 UTC | 24% |
| 16 Sept, 02:07 UTC | 23% |
| 16 Sept, 01:24 UTC | 23% |
| 16 Sept, 00:46 UTC | 23% |
| 16 Sept, 00:25 UTC | 23% |
| 15 Sept, 23:54 UTC | 23% |
| 15 Sept, 23:25 UTC | 24% |
| 15 Sept, 22:32 UTC | 23% |
| 15 Sept, 22:15 UTC | 23% |
| 15 Sept, 21:55 UTC | 23% |
| 15 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 23% |
| 15 Sept, 18:38 UTC | 23% |
| 15 Sept, 18:29 UTC | 24% |
| 15 Sept, 17:43 UTC | 24% |
| 15 Sept, 17:02 UTC | 25% |
| 15 Sept, 16:54 UTC | 24% |
| 15 Sept, 15:45 UTC | 22% |
| 15 Sept, 14:44 UTC | 23% |
| 15 Sept, 14:09 UTC | 24% |
| 15 Sept, 13:44 UTC | 24% |
| 15 Sept, 12:10 UTC | 25% |
| 15 Sept, 10:56 UTC | 24% |
| 13 Sept, 19:42 UTC | 28% |
| 13 Sept, 18:12 UTC | 29% |
| 12 Sept, 23:23 UTC | 28% |
| 12 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 29% |
| 11 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 28% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 21 Sept 2026. South China Morning Post published first, on 21 September at 19:34 UTC; The Hill followed 1h 16m later. The most recent article, from The Hill, appeared on 24 September at 10:00 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), South China Morning Post.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? — the market puts it at 32%, closing 4 Jan 2027. The Yes outcome occurs if Nate Silver’s approval rating drops to 35% or lower at any point during 2026. The rating must come from Silver Bulletin’s green trend line, and only finalized data points count toward the result. Readers often mistake the linked news story for the official source or assume any poll below 35% triggers the outcome.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- South China Morning PostTrump’s approval rating falls to career low of 32% as high living costs bite, poll shows25%
- The HillTrump approval falls to all-time low in Reuters/Ipsos poll 27%▲2 points since the previous source
- The Hill NewsTrump’s approval plunges into the 20s, and Republicans give up26%▼1 points since the previous source
- The HillTrump disapproval highest in second term amid economic woes: Emerson College32%▲6 points since the previous source
- Current odds32%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Trump disapproval highest in second term amid economic woes: Emerson College The Hill ·
- Trump’s approval plunges into the 20s, and Republicans give up The Hill News ·
- Trump approval falls to all-time low in Reuters/Ipsos poll The Hill ·
- Trump’s approval rating falls to career low of 32% as high living costs bite, poll shows South China Morning Post
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? 32% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Donald Trump
- Reuters/Ipsos