Trump Administration Cuts SNAP Enrollment by 13 Percent
Enrollment in the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program has dropped to 36.5 million following restrictions imposed after the One Big Beautiful Act took effect.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 14% |
| 26 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 14% |
| 26 Oct, 19:30 UTC | 10% |
| 26 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 14% |
| 26 Oct, 16:09 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Oct, 13:56 UTC | 13% |
| 24 Oct, 16:01 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Oct, 13:04 UTC | 9% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 10:19 UTC | 10% |
| 17 Oct, 04:30 UTC | 10% |
| 16 Oct, 19:13 UTC | 10% |
| 15 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Oct, 16:56 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 12% |
| 13 Oct, 22:52 UTC | 8% |
| 13 Oct, 06:28 UTC | 8% |
| 12 Oct, 22:54 UTC | 10% |
| 12 Oct, 01:37 UTC | 9% |
| 11 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 11% |
| 11 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Oct, 10:48 UTC | 7% |
| 10 Oct, 20:09 UTC | 8% |
| 10 Oct, 17:55 UTC | 6% |
| 10 Oct, 12:27 UTC | 10% |
| 10 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 10% |
| 10 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 7% |
| 9 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 10% |
| 9 Oct, 19:37 UTC | 10% |
| 9 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 6% |
| 3 Oct, 21:30 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 10% |
| 2 Oct, 18:26 UTC | 11% |
| 30 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Sept, 12:18 UTC | 11% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 25 Oct 2026. The Guardian US published first, on 25 October at 11:00 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Before Jan 4, 2027 — the market puts it at 14%, with $259 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 4 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if a bill restricting SNAP benefits becomes law before January 4, 2027. The outcome is No if no such bill becomes law by that date. Readers often mistake the news story about benefit amounts for the actual legislation required to resolve the market.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Related prediction markets
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- Kalshi Before Jan 4, 2027 14% +1
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In this story
- Trump administration
- Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program
- One Big Beautiful Act