NewsMarkets

Markets

Before Jan 4, 2027

Implied probability 12%+3
24-hour volume$8
Total volume$46k
Liquidity$46k
Resolves4 Jan 2027
How the odds moved · Before Jan 4, 2027
0%50%100%12%20 Oct, 05:47 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now12%
24 Oct, 16:01 UTC12%
22 Oct, 13:04 UTC9%
20 Oct, 05:47 UTC8%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Does the market have this right?

Alert me when the odds move

Email: we send a link to confirm first, and you can unsubscribe in one click. Browser notifications need no email and are turned off on the Following page. At most one alert every six hours either way. Privacy

What counts

The outcome is Yes if a bill restricting SNAP benefits becomes law before January 4, 2027. The outcome is No if no such bill becomes law by that date. Readers often mistake the news story about benefit amounts for the actual legislation required to resolve the market.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 12%
  • No 88%

Trade this market on Kalshi →

Embed this market

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.

Stories on this market