Before Jan 4, 2027
Implied probability 11%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$42k
Liquidity$42k
Resolves4 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 11% |
| 27 Sept, 12:18 UTC | 11% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if a bill restricting SNAP benefits becomes law before January 4, 2027. The outcome is No if no such bill becomes law by that date. Readers often mistake the news story about benefit amounts for the actual legislation required to resolve the market.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 11%
- No 89%