Top College Football Teams Face Upset Alert This Weekend
Alabama, Ohio State and Florida face ranked opponents on the road this weekend.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 75% |
| 4 Oct, 10:57 UTC | 75% |
| 4 Oct, 07:25 UTC | 71% |
| 4 Oct, 06:52 UTC | 69% |
| 4 Oct, 04:51 UTC | 65% |
| 4 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 69% |
| 4 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 67% |
| 4 Oct, 01:26 UTC | 69% |
| 4 Oct, 00:41 UTC | 64% |
| 4 Oct, 00:01 UTC | 61% |
| 3 Oct, 23:22 UTC | 60% |
| 3 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 65% |
| 3 Oct, 21:43 UTC | 61% |
| 3 Oct, 20:43 UTC | 61% |
| 3 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 72% |
| 3 Oct, 19:49 UTC | 59% |
| 3 Oct, 19:29 UTC | 56% |
| 3 Oct, 18:43 UTC | 52% |
| 3 Oct, 18:09 UTC | 40% |
| 3 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 58% |
| 3 Oct, 17:14 UTC | 55% |
| 2 Oct, 18:26 UTC | 55% |
| 2 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 54% |
| 2 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 54% |
| 1 Oct, 10:59 UTC | 53% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 2 Oct 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 2 October at 11:34 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Alabama — the market puts it at 75%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 29 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Alabama qualifies for the College Football Playoffs. It resolves to No if Alabama does not qualify. Readers often mistake the deadline for the game results instead of the official playoff selection date.
- Alabama — the market puts it at 25%, with $114 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Feb 2027. The outcome is Yes if Alabama qualifies for the College Football Playoff Semifinals during the 2026-27 season. The outcome is No if they do not qualify within that specific timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about upcoming games as the resolution criteria, but only official playoff qualification matters.
- Alabama — the market puts it at 20%, with $47 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Feb 2027. The outcome is Yes if Alabama receives the top seed in the 2026-27 College Football Playoff. The outcome is No otherwise. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of who wins the national championship rather than just the playoff seeding.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Alabama 75% +20
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Alabama 25%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Alabama 20% +12
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
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