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Paxton Leads Talarico in Texas Senate Race as Family Sues Over Abortion Death

A new poll shows Ken Paxton leading James Talarico in the Texas Senate race, while Tierra Walker's family sues Paxton over her death.

2 publishers · 4 articles · first seen 15 Sept 2026 · updated 2h ago

Markets on this story

How the odds moved · Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
0%50%100%46%12 Sept, 22:14 UTCnowCBS News Politics: Family blames Texas' "merciless" abortion ban for woman's death, sues Paxton, others · 15 Sept, 22:57 UTCThe Hill: Talarico leads Paxton by 3 points in new Texas Senate poll · 15 Sept, 18:52 UTCJust In News: O'Reilly predicts Paxton win: 'Talarico is just too much' for Texas · 15 Sept, 14:07 UTCThe Hill News: Ken Paxton’s plight in Texas is mostly of his own making · 15 Sept, 10:00 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now46%
15 Sept, 23:40 UTC46%
15 Sept, 14:44 UTC45%
15 Sept, 03:50 UTC48%
14 Sept, 20:22 UTC49%
14 Sept, 19:22 UTC49%
14 Sept, 18:21 UTC50%
14 Sept, 14:06 UTC49%
13 Sept, 23:12 UTC50%
13 Sept, 22:14 UTC51%
12 Sept, 22:14 UTC49%

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How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. The Hill NewsKen Paxton’s plight in Texas is mostly of his own making48%
  2. Just In NewsO'Reilly predicts Paxton win: 'Talarico is just too much' for Texas48%
  3. The HillTalarico leads Paxton by 3 points in new Texas Senate poll45%▼3 points since the previous source
  4. CBS News PoliticsFamily blames Texas' "merciless" abortion ban for woman's death, sues Paxton, others45%
  5. Current odds46%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Family blames Texas' "merciless" abortion ban for woman's death, sues Paxton, others CBS News Politics ·
  2. Talarico leads Paxton by 3 points in new Texas Senate poll The Hill ·
  3. O'Reilly predicts Paxton win: 'Talarico is just too much' for Texas Just In News ·
  4. Ken Paxton’s plight in Texas is mostly of his own making The Hill News ·

In this story

  • Ken Paxton
  • James Talarico
  • Texas
  • Tierra Walker

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