Syria Removed From US Arms Export Ban List
The US has removed Syria from its arms export ban list to aid the country's recovery from conflict.
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The odds
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Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 9% |
| 30 Sept, 19:24 UTC | 9% |
| 29 Sept, 17:05 UTC | 2% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 30 Sept 2026. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera published first, on 30 September at 17:55 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Syria — the market puts it at 9%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Syria before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news headline about arms exports as the deciding factor, but only official travel advisories count.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Markets on this story
- Kalshi Syria 9%
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In this story
- Syria
- United States