Drone attacks kill scores in Sudan as death toll rises

Escalating drone strikes across Sudan, including a market in West Kordofan and Khartoum, have killed at least 160 people amid the ongoing war.

4 publishers · 6 articles · first seen 17 Oct 2026 · updated 11h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

The odds

How the odds moved · South Sudan

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data

Time	Chance of yes
now	41%
20 Oct, 06:36 UTC	41%
20 Oct, 05:47 UTC	36%
17 Oct, 20:39 UTC	35%
16 Oct, 22:16 UTC	34%
16 Oct, 20:41 UTC	35%
16 Oct, 20:28 UTC	34%
16 Oct, 08:27 UTC	32%
15 Oct, 21:06 UTC	31%
15 Oct, 20:59 UTC	32%
15 Oct, 04:42 UTC	27%
14 Oct, 22:17 UTC	31%
13 Oct, 22:38 UTC	29%

The story so far

4 publishers have covered this in 6 articles since 17 Oct 2026. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera published first, on 17 October at 09:44 UTC; France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines followed 52h 15m later. The most recent article, from Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera, appeared on 19 October at 21:38 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), The Guardian (major outlet), ABC News (major outlet), France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines.

One prediction market prices this story:

South Sudan — the market puts it at 41%, with $51 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if an official report confirms a human Ebola case in South Sudan between now and January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if no such confirmed case is reported by that deadline. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the start of the reporting period, but only cases officially reported after the market's issuance date count.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on South Sudan at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

17 Oct, 09:44Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera Sudan’s army claims dozens of RSF fighters killed in Nyala attack34%
18 Oct, 13:37Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera Sudan army accused of drone strike on livestock market35%▲1 points since the previous source
19 Oct, 14:00France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines Drone attack near southern Sudan market kills scores35%
19 Oct, 14:45The Guardian Drone attack near market kills 80 in Sudan35%
19 Oct, 18:16ABC News Sudan drone attacks kill 3 children in Khartoum, dozens of civilians in Kordofan35%
19 Oct, 21:38Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera 160 people reported killed in escalating drone attacks across Sudan35%
NowCurrent odds41%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

Markets on this story

Kalshi South Sudan 41% +6 $51 24hends 1 Jan 2027
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In this story

Sudan
Rapid Support Forces
Khartoum
West Kordofan

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