Spider-Man: Brand New Day 4K Ultra HD Now Available for Pre-order
The highest-grossing movie of the year is coming to home video as pre-orders open for its 4K Ultra HD release.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
All 4 sources published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 96% |
| 1 Oct, 00:01 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Sept, 07:48 UTC | 95% |
| 12 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 94% |
The story so far
4 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 8 Sept 2026. The A.V. Club published first, on 8 September at 15:58 UTC; Consequence followed 46h 10m later. The most recent article, from The Hollywood Reporter, appeared on 11 September at 04:37 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hollywood Reporter (major outlet), The A.V. Club, Consequence, Times of India.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? — the market puts it at 96%, with $925 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Jan 2027. The market resolves based on which film has the highest domestic calendar gross in 2026 according to Box Office Mojo once December 31 data is posted. Only earnings accumulated within the 2026 calendar year count toward this total. Readers often mistake the global box office for the relevant metric, but only domestic gross matters here.
- Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30? — resolved “No” on 1 Oct 2026.
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? — the market puts it at 64%, with $12k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Feb 2027.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published.
- The A.V. ClubThe holiday weekend is just another day on top of the box office for Spider-Man
- ConsequenceSpider-Man: Brand New Day 4K Ultra HD Now Available for Pre-order
- Times of India'Spider-Man: Brand New Day' to become first $1bn US box office film
- The Hollywood Reporter‘Practical Magic 2’ Aims to Make ‘Spider-Man’ Disappear From No. 1 at the Box Office
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- ‘Practical Magic 2’ Aims to Make ‘Spider-Man’ Disappear From No. 1 at the Box Office The Hollywood Reporter ·
- 'Spider-Man: Brand New Day' to become first $1bn US box office film Times of India
- Spider-Man: Brand New Day 4K Ultra HD Now Available for Pre-order Consequence
- The holiday weekend is just another day on top of the box office for Spider-Man The A.V. Club
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? 96% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30? No 24d ago
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? 64% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
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In this story
- Spider-Man: Brand New Day