SoftBank Credit Default Swings Near Three-Year High on OpenAI Funding Concerns
Traders assess potential implications from funding plans for OpenAI as SoftBank's credit default swaps hover near a three-year high.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 17 Sept, 17:07 UTC | 4% |
| 17 Sept, 13:29 UTC | 4% |
| 17 Sept, 12:55 UTC | 4% |
| 17 Sept, 08:50 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Sept, 22:17 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Sept, 20:57 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Sept, 19:28 UTC | 4% |
| 16 Sept, 18:58 UTC | 4% |
| 16 Sept, 17:15 UTC | 4% |
| 16 Sept, 15:50 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Sept, 14:52 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Sept, 12:18 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Sept, 09:12 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Sept, 07:29 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Sept, 02:14 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Sept, 01:07 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Sept, 21:31 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Sept, 21:13 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Sept, 17:43 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Sept, 15:54 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Sept, 15:18 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Sept, 14:44 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Sept, 08:54 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Sept, 07:25 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Sept, 04:13 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Sept, 03:08 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Sept, 00:07 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 22:38 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 22:22 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 21:32 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 20:48 UTC | 6% |
| 13 Sept, 20:17 UTC | 6% |
| 13 Sept, 17:56 UTC | 6% |
| 13 Sept, 17:25 UTC | 6% |
| 13 Sept, 16:54 UTC | 7% |
| 13 Sept, 15:46 UTC | 8% |
| 13 Sept, 15:29 UTC | 7% |
| 13 Sept, 14:52 UTC | 7% |
| 13 Sept, 14:06 UTC | 8% |
| 13 Sept, 13:59 UTC | 7% |
| 13 Sept, 13:28 UTC | 8% |
| 13 Sept, 12:59 UTC | 9% |
| 13 Sept, 12:21 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 11:59 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 10:43 UTC | 2% |
| 13 Sept, 09:44 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Sept, 09:06 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Sept, 08:31 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Sept, 08:24 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Sept, 07:24 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Sept, 06:25 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Sept, 21:37 UTC | 5% |
| 12 Sept, 21:20 UTC | 5% |
| 12 Sept, 19:52 UTC | 6% |
| 12 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 7% |
| 11 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 9% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 16 Sept 2026. Bloomberg Technology published first, on 16 September at 04:49 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- OpenAI IPO before 2027? — the market puts it at 4%, with $677 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027.
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? — the market puts it at 3%, closing 1 Jan 2027.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket OpenAI IPO before 2027? 4%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? 3% −2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- SoftBank Group Corp.
- OpenAI