OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Implied probability 3%
24-hour volume$517
Total volume$603k
Liquidity$115k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 19 Oct, 02:35 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 23:50 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 23:29 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 19:03 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 17:45 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 16:45 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 16:24 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 14:01 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 13:37 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 12:41 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 12:21 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 11:26 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 10:59 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 09:40 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 07:15 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 05:31 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 04:11 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 19:18 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 16:52 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 15:43 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 15:29 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 13:41 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 13:09 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 07:54 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 07:27 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 06:41 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 05:55 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 05:22 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 04:16 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 02:36 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 00:17 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 19:13 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 18:38 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 17:08 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 16:53 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 15:31 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 13:45 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 12:49 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 12:12 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 11:51 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 11:09 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 10:49 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 10:14 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 09:40 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 08:59 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 08:07 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 07:46 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 07:24 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 06:43 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 05:55 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 02:55 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 14:06 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 02:43 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 02:29 UTC | 3% |
| 14 Oct, 23:48 UTC | 3% |
| 14 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 3% |
| 14 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 3% |
| 14 Oct, 16:49 UTC | 3% |
| 14 Oct, 15:13 UTC | 3% |
| 14 Oct, 14:45 UTC | 3% |
| 14 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 4% |
| 14 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 4% |
| 14 Oct, 05:15 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Oct, 22:52 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Oct, 19:52 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Oct, 17:07 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Oct, 16:19 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Oct, 20:09 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Oct, 19:07 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Oct, 14:48 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Oct, 12:56 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 3% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if OpenAI sells its stock to the public on a recognized exchange by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The outcome is No if the company merges, gets acquired, or ceases to exist before that deadline. Readers often mistake news about safety incidents or internal tracking for an actual IPO.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%
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