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Mitch McConnell Returns to Senate After Three-Month Health Absence Hot: $82k traded on its market in 24 hours

The Kentucky senator casts his first vote since June, ending weeks of speculation about his health following a fall and recovery from childhood polio effects.

10 publishers · 11 articles · first seen 14 Sept 2026 · updated 6h ago

Markets on this story

How the odds moved · Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30?
0%50%100%99%13 Sept, 22:36 UTCnowAl Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: Mitch McConnell returns to US Senate after three-month absence · 15 Sept, 08:41 UTCCBS News Politics: Mitch McConnell seen publicly for first time since June · 14 Sept, 23:49 UTCNPR Politics: Mitch McConnell returns to Senate after fall that led to an extended medical absence · 14 Sept, 22:36 UTCThe Hill: McConnell returns to Senate to cast first vote since June · 14 Sept, 22:26 UTCThe Guardian US: Mitch McConnell returns to Senate after months-long absence · 14 Sept, 22:23 UTCCBS News Politics: Mitch McConnell returns to Capitol Hill after monthslong absence · 14 Sept, 22:14 UTCAxios: McConnell returns to Capitol after 3-month absence · 14 Sept, 22:10 UTCWashington Post: The Senate returns Monday. It’s not clear if McConnell will be back. · 14 Sept, 10:56 UTCRoll Call: After lengthy absence, McConnell returns to Senate · 15 Sept, 00:47 UTCSouth China Morning Post: Mitch McConnell returns to US Senate after 3-month health absence · 15 Sept, 00:40 UTCFox News Politics: McConnell returns after months-long absence for crucial vote · 14 Sept, 22:13 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now99%
15 Sept, 01:20 UTC99%
15 Sept, 00:05 UTC99%
14 Sept, 23:52 UTC97%
14 Sept, 23:16 UTC97%
14 Sept, 22:52 UTC97%
13 Sept, 22:36 UTC66%

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How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. Washington PostThe Senate returns Monday. It’s not clear if McConnell will be back.66%
  2. AxiosMcConnell returns to Capitol after 3-month absence66%
  3. Fox News PoliticsMcConnell returns after months-long absence for crucial vote66%
  4. CBS News PoliticsMitch McConnell returns to Capitol Hill after monthslong absence66%
  5. The Guardian USMitch McConnell returns to Senate after months-long absence66%
  6. The HillMcConnell returns to Senate to cast first vote since June66%
  7. NPR PoliticsMitch McConnell returns to Senate after fall that led to an extended medical absence66%
  8. CBS News PoliticsMitch McConnell seen publicly for first time since June97%▲31 points since the previous source
  9. South China Morning PostMitch McConnell returns to US Senate after 3-month health absence99%▲3 points since the previous source
  10. Roll CallAfter lengthy absence, McConnell returns to Senate99%
  11. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraMitch McConnell returns to US Senate after three-month absence99%
  12. Current odds99%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Mitch McConnell returns to US Senate after three-month absence Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
  2. Mitch McConnell seen publicly for first time since June CBS News Politics ·
  3. Mitch McConnell returns to Senate after fall that led to an extended medical absence NPR Politics ·
  4. McConnell returns to Senate to cast first vote since June The Hill ·
  5. Mitch McConnell returns to Senate after months-long absence The Guardian US ·
  6. Mitch McConnell returns to Capitol Hill after monthslong absence CBS News Politics ·
  7. McConnell returns to Capitol after 3-month absence Axios ·
  8. The Senate returns Monday. It’s not clear if McConnell will be back. Washington Post ·
  9. After lengthy absence, McConnell returns to Senate Roll Call
  10. Mitch McConnell returns to US Senate after 3-month health absence South China Morning Post
  11. McConnell returns after months-long absence for crucial vote Fox News Politics

In this story

  • Mitch McConnell
  • Senate
  • Capitol Hill

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