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Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

Implied probability 13%−5
24-hour volume$82k
Total volume$1.7M
Liquidity$53k
Resolves3 Jan 2027
How the odds moved · Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
0%50%100%13%11 Sept, 18:39 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now13%
15 Sept, 06:46 UTC13%
15 Sept, 05:58 UTC14%
15 Sept, 03:17 UTC14%
15 Sept, 02:45 UTC13%
15 Sept, 02:27 UTC14%
15 Sept, 01:55 UTC12%
15 Sept, 00:05 UTC11%
14 Sept, 23:52 UTC10%
14 Sept, 23:28 UTC9%
14 Sept, 22:36 UTC7%
14 Sept, 22:27 UTC6%
14 Sept, 21:58 UTC18%
14 Sept, 21:23 UTC22%
14 Sept, 20:55 UTC22%
14 Sept, 16:26 UTC18%
14 Sept, 15:17 UTC18%
14 Sept, 14:57 UTC18%
14 Sept, 12:11 UTC18%
14 Sept, 09:48 UTC18%
14 Sept, 07:40 UTC18%
14 Sept, 07:09 UTC18%
13 Sept, 22:46 UTC18%
13 Sept, 19:03 UTC17%
13 Sept, 09:37 UTC18%
13 Sept, 02:59 UTC17%
12 Sept, 18:39 UTC18%
11 Sept, 18:39 UTC18%

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Outcomes

  • Yes 13%
  • No 88%

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