Scotland Seek First Win Over New Zealand in Nations Championship
Captain Sione Tuipulotu and Finn Russell return for Scotland as they aim to end their winless streak against the All Blacks.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by SkySports, 2h 24m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 3 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 33% |
| 7 Nov, 19:13 UTC | 33% |
| 7 Nov, 18:59 UTC | 32% |
| 6 Nov, 18:47 UTC | 33% |
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 5 articles since 5 Nov 2026. SkySports published first, on 5 November at 11:19 UTC; BBC Sport followed 2h 25m later. The most recent article, from BBC Sport, appeared on 7 November at 18:38 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), SkySports, BBC Sport.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- New Zealand — the market puts it at 33%, with $789 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 21 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if New Zealand wins the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific tournament. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about their performance in the upcoming Nations Championship match against Scotland.
- Scotland — the market puts it at 1%, closing 15 Aug 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Scotland wins the 2028 UEFA European Championship. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific tournament. Readers often mistake the linked story about a player's debut for the actual resolution criteria.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on New Zealand at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- SkySportsJones, Russell, Tuipulotu return in Scotland's quest for first win over All Blacks—
- BBC SportRussell & Tuipulotu back for Scotland v All Blacks—
- BBC SportScotland come full circle for another crack at All Blacks—
- The Guardian SportScotland v New Zealand: Nations Championship rugby union – live33%
- BBC SportTuipulotu takes 'full responsibility' for Scotland collapse33%
- Current odds33%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Scotland v New Zealand: Nations Championship rugby union – live The Guardian Sport ·
- Tuipulotu takes 'full responsibility' for Scotland collapse BBC Sport
- Scotland come full circle for another crack at All Blacks BBC Sport
- Russell & Tuipulotu back for Scotland v All Blacks BBC Sport
- Jones, Russell, Tuipulotu return in Scotland's quest for first win over All Blacks SkySports
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi New Zealand 33%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Scotland 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Sione Tuipulotu
- Finn Russell
- Scotland
- New Zealand
- Gregor Townsend