New Zealand
Implied probability 33%
24-hour volume$789
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves21 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 33% |
| 7 Nov, 19:13 UTC | 33% |
| 7 Nov, 18:59 UTC | 32% |
| 6 Nov, 18:47 UTC | 33% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if New Zealand wins the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific tournament. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about their performance in the upcoming Nations Championship match against Scotland.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 33%
- No 67%