Rumors Mount Over Trump Alien Disclosure Speech
Increased US government UFO information fuels excitement that the president may announce humans are not alone.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
All 1 source published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 16 Sept, 00:08 UTC | 1% |
| 15 Sept, 22:15 UTC | 1% |
| 15 Sept, 17:02 UTC | 0% |
| 15 Sept, 16:43 UTC | 1% |
| 15 Sept, 16:27 UTC | 1% |
| 15 Sept, 15:54 UTC | 2% |
| 15 Sept, 14:53 UTC | 2% |
| 15 Sept, 14:25 UTC | 2% |
| 15 Sept, 13:18 UTC | 2% |
| 15 Sept, 12:37 UTC | 2% |
| 15 Sept, 12:03 UTC | 2% |
| 15 Sept, 11:55 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Sept, 10:41 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Sept, 10:06 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Sept, 09:58 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Sept, 09:27 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Sept, 08:53 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Sept, 08:23 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Sept, 07:59 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Sept, 07:29 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Sept, 05:58 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Sept, 04:58 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Sept, 04:22 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Sept, 03:59 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Sept, 03:24 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Sept, 02:53 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Sept, 02:03 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Sept, 01:55 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Sept, 01:20 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Sept, 00:56 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Sept, 00:21 UTC | 3% |
| 14 Sept, 23:52 UTC | 4% |
| 14 Sept, 23:28 UTC | 4% |
| 14 Sept, 22:52 UTC | 4% |
| 14 Sept, 22:27 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Sept, 21:58 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Sept, 21:03 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Sept, 20:55 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Sept, 20:11 UTC | 10% |
| 14 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 10% |
| 14 Sept, 19:10 UTC | 10% |
| 14 Sept, 18:38 UTC | 10% |
| 14 Sept, 18:21 UTC | 10% |
| 14 Sept, 17:45 UTC | 10% |
| 14 Sept, 17:20 UTC | 10% |
| 14 Sept, 16:59 UTC | 10% |
| 14 Sept, 16:18 UTC | 11% |
| 14 Sept, 15:58 UTC | 10% |
| 14 Sept, 15:25 UTC | 10% |
| 14 Sept, 14:57 UTC | 10% |
| 14 Sept, 14:25 UTC | 9% |
| 14 Sept, 13:58 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Sept, 13:10 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Sept, 11:04 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Sept, 10:29 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Sept, 09:10 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Sept, 07:40 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Sept, 07:25 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Sept, 05:42 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Sept, 03:57 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Sept, 03:08 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Sept, 02:30 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Sept, 02:11 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Sept, 01:32 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Sept, 01:24 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Sept, 00:34 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Sept, 00:27 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 23:36 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 22:53 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 22:14 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 21:16 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 20:09 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 19:42 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 18:47 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 18:28 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Sept, 17:41 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 17:25 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Sept, 16:40 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Sept, 16:15 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 15:53 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 15:21 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Sept, 14:14 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Sept, 13:37 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Sept, 13:13 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Sept, 12:45 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Sept, 12:07 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 11:30 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 11:20 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Sept, 10:29 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Sept, 07:00 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Sept, 06:53 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Sept, 05:48 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Sept, 05:26 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Sept, 01:01 UTC | 5% |
| 12 Sept, 21:51 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 6% |
| 11 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 8% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 11 Sept 2026. WIRED published first, on 11 September at 10:30 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15? — resolved “No” on 16 Sept 2026.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15? No 43d ago
The market favoured No at 97% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?