Rockstar Says Next GTA Won't Take Years to Make
Technical lead Phil Hooker states improved tools and team efficiency will accelerate development of the Grand Theft Auto sequel.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 79% |
| 14 Oct, 15:46 UTC | 79% |
| 14 Oct, 08:50 UTC | 77% |
| 13 Oct, 23:06 UTC | 79% |
| 13 Oct, 19:38 UTC | 71% |
| 13 Oct, 19:04 UTC | 75% |
| 13 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 71% |
| 13 Oct, 16:19 UTC | 69% |
| 13 Oct, 14:56 UTC | 68% |
| 13 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 52% |
| 13 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 60% |
| 12 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 55% |
| 12 Oct, 02:22 UTC | 60% |
| 11 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 75% |
| 11 Oct, 12:22 UTC | 50% |
| 11 Oct, 03:00 UTC | 59% |
| 10 Oct, 19:11 UTC | 57% |
| 10 Oct, 18:20 UTC | 55% |
| 10 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 53% |
| 10 Oct, 07:57 UTC | 59% |
| 10 Oct, 06:19 UTC | 56% |
| 10 Oct, 05:53 UTC | 52% |
| 10 Oct, 01:33 UTC | 54% |
| 9 Oct, 21:36 UTC | 59% |
| 9 Oct, 08:35 UTC | 58% |
| 9 Oct, 07:49 UTC | 57% |
| 8 Oct, 23:42 UTC | 50% |
| 8 Oct, 22:29 UTC | 52% |
| 8 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 59% |
| 7 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 62% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 14 Oct 2026. NME published first, on 14 October at 11:12 UTC; The Verge followed 2h 30m later. The most recent article, from The Verge, appeared on 14 October at 13:42 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Verge (major outlet), NME.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- the PC version of GTA 6 — the market puts it at 79%, with $311 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Rockstar Games releases the PC version of GTA 6 to the public before January 1, 2028. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake a promotional partnership for an actual release date.
- Grand Theft Auto VI — the market puts it at 95%, closing 2 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Grand Theft Auto VI launches completely on any US platform before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if the game does not meet this deadline or fails to release fully. Readers often mistake pre-release announcements or collector’s editions for an actual full game launch.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi the PC version of GTA 6 79% +5
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Grand Theft Auto VI 95%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Rockstar Games
- Phil Hooker