Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?
Implied probability 39%+28
24-hour volume$60k
Total volume$83k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves23 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 39% |
| 18 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 39% |
| 18 Oct, 17:59 UTC | 41% |
| 18 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 41% |
| 18 Oct, 16:45 UTC | 46% |
| 18 Oct, 16:24 UTC | 44% |
| 18 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 40% |
| 18 Oct, 15:29 UTC | 38% |
| 18 Oct, 14:48 UTC | 36% |
| 18 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 44% |
| 18 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 68% |
| 18 Oct, 13:16 UTC | 79% |
| 18 Oct, 12:55 UTC | 77% |
| 18 Oct, 12:28 UTC | 65% |
| 18 Oct, 11:33 UTC | 60% |
| 18 Oct, 11:12 UTC | 60% |
| 18 Oct, 10:59 UTC | 61% |
| 18 Oct, 10:22 UTC | 63% |
| 18 Oct, 09:54 UTC | 66% |
| 18 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 69% |
| 18 Oct, 08:54 UTC | 71% |
| 18 Oct, 08:27 UTC | 71% |
| 18 Oct, 07:55 UTC | 67% |
| 18 Oct, 07:21 UTC | 67% |
| 18 Oct, 06:43 UTC | 62% |
| 18 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 55% |
| 18 Oct, 05:49 UTC | 53% |
| 18 Oct, 05:11 UTC | 53% |
| 18 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 52% |
| 18 Oct, 04:18 UTC | 50% |
| 18 Oct, 03:50 UTC | 52% |
| 18 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 53% |
| 18 Oct, 02:31 UTC | 53% |
| 18 Oct, 02:04 UTC | 52% |
| 18 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 53% |
| 18 Oct, 01:23 UTC | 53% |
| 17 Oct, 23:58 UTC | 50% |
| 17 Oct, 23:22 UTC | 47% |
| 17 Oct, 21:52 UTC | 45% |
| 17 Oct, 21:25 UTC | 59% |
| 17 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 53% |
| 17 Oct, 20:25 UTC | 47% |
| 17 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 36% |
| 17 Oct, 19:25 UTC | 24% |
| 17 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 11% |
| 17 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 11% |
| 17 Oct, 17:14 UTC | 12% |
| 17 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 12% |
| 17 Oct, 15:43 UTC | 11% |
| 17 Oct, 15:29 UTC | 11% |
| 17 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 10% |
| 17 Oct, 14:19 UTC | 9% |
| 17 Oct, 13:48 UTC | 14% |
| 17 Oct, 12:20 UTC | 14% |
| 17 Oct, 11:53 UTC | 15% |
| 17 Oct, 11:26 UTC | 16% |
| 17 Oct, 10:12 UTC | 16% |
| 17 Oct, 09:52 UTC | 16% |
| 17 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 15% |
| 17 Oct, 08:59 UTC | 18% |
| 17 Oct, 08:20 UTC | 16% |
| 17 Oct, 07:27 UTC | 15% |
| 17 Oct, 06:54 UTC | 13% |
| 17 Oct, 06:27 UTC | 11% |
| 17 Oct, 05:55 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 05:29 UTC | 9% |
| 17 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 16% |
| 17 Oct, 04:23 UTC | 18% |
| 17 Oct, 03:49 UTC | 19% |
| 16 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 36% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer receives between 60 and 80 million views on the Rockstar Games YouTube channel within seven days of its posting. It resolves to No if the view count falls outside that range or if fewer than 7 days have passed since the upload.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 39%
- No 61%
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