Rockstar Confirms GTA 6 Launches November 19, 2026 Hot: Odds moved 12 points in 24 hours
Rockstar Games has confirmed the title launches on consoles in November 2026, with a PC version expected early next year.
First reported by Quartz, 2h 51m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 72% |
| 13 Oct, 16:19 UTC | 69% |
| 13 Oct, 14:56 UTC | 68% |
| 13 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 52% |
| 13 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 60% |
| 12 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 55% |
| 12 Oct, 02:22 UTC | 60% |
| 11 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 75% |
| 11 Oct, 12:22 UTC | 50% |
| 11 Oct, 03:00 UTC | 59% |
| 10 Oct, 19:11 UTC | 57% |
| 10 Oct, 18:20 UTC | 55% |
| 10 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 53% |
| 10 Oct, 07:57 UTC | 59% |
| 10 Oct, 06:19 UTC | 56% |
| 10 Oct, 05:53 UTC | 52% |
| 10 Oct, 01:33 UTC | 54% |
| 9 Oct, 21:36 UTC | 59% |
| 9 Oct, 08:35 UTC | 58% |
| 9 Oct, 07:49 UTC | 57% |
| 8 Oct, 23:42 UTC | 50% |
| 8 Oct, 22:29 UTC | 52% |
| 8 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 59% |
| 7 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 62% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 57% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch the PC version of GTA 6 respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 13 Oct 2026. Quartz published first, on 13 October at 13:30 UTC; Latest from Tom's Hardware in News followed 2h 51m later. The most recent article, from Engadget, appeared on 13 October at 17:27 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Quartz, Latest from Tom's Hardware in News, Engadget.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- the PC version of GTA 6 — the market puts it at 72%, with $586 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Rockstar Games releases the PC version of GTA 6 to the public before January 1, 2028. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake a promotional partnership for an actual release date.
- Before 2027 — the market puts it at 13%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Rockstar Games releases GTA VI Online to the public before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if that release does not happen within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the news headline date for the official resolution deadline.
- GTA 6 launch postponed again? — the market puts it at 4%, with $857 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Nov 2026. The market resolves to "Yes" if Grand Theft Auto VI is not publicly available for purchase or download in the US by November 19, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves to "No" if the game launches on time according to official announcements from Rockstar Games or Take-Two Interactive. Readers often mistake early access versions, betas, or leaks for an official release, which do not count toward the deadline.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on the PC version of GTA 6 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- QuartzGTA 6 release date, price, cast and map explained52%
- Latest from Tom's Hardware in NewsGTA 6 could come to PC as early as Q1 2027, leak claims69%▲17 points since the previous source
- EngadgetGTA 6 is reportedly coming to PC in early 202769%
- Current odds72%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi the PC version of GTA 6 72% +12
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Before 2027 13%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket GTA 6 launch postponed again? 4%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Rockstar
- GTA 6