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GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Implied probability 4%
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$848k
Liquidity$34k
Resolves20 Nov 2026
How the odds moved · GTA 6 launch postponed again?
0%50%100%4%12 Oct, 16:33 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now4%
13 Oct, 18:43 UTC4%
13 Oct, 18:22 UTC4%
13 Oct, 17:07 UTC4%
13 Oct, 16:33 UTC4%
12 Oct, 16:33 UTC4%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to "Yes" if Grand Theft Auto VI is not publicly available for purchase or download in the US by November 19, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves to "No" if the game launches on time according to official announcements from Rockstar Games or Take-Two Interactive. Readers often mistake early access versions, betas, or leaks for an official release, which do not count toward the deadline.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 4%
  • No 96%

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