Progressives Target Central Florida for Midterms

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 29 Oct 2026. politico.com published first, on 29 October at 10:55 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Miami-Dade — the market puts it at 47%, with $241 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Angie Nixon wins the 2026 Florida Senate general election in Miami-Dade County. It resolves to No if she does not win that specific race. Readers often mistake the source of truth, thinking any primary victory or local office win counts instead of only the final general election result.
• Angie Nixon — the market puts it at 12%, with $191k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if a Democrat takes office as a U.S. Senator from Florida for the term starting in 2027. The outcome is No if that specific event does not occur. Readers often mistake current political activity or party affiliation for the actual swearing-in date.
• At least 46% — the market puts it at 47%, with $2 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Angie Nixon receives at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Senate election. It resolves to No if she receives less than 46%. Readers often mistake the deadline for the election day rather than the date when the results are officially certified.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.