Premier League Returns With Arsenal vs Leeds Match Hot: $125k traded on its market in 24 hours
The Premier League season resumes with the defending champions Arsenal facing Leeds United in a live broadcast.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 65% |
| 10 Oct, 10:31 UTC | 65% |
| 10 Oct, 08:37 UTC | 63% |
| 10 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 62% |
| 9 Oct, 22:52 UTC | 63% |
| 9 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 64% |
| 9 Oct, 15:07 UTC | 63% |
| 9 Oct, 14:45 UTC | 62% |
| 9 Oct, 04:33 UTC | 63% |
| 8 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 61% |
| 8 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 62% |
| 8 Oct, 16:53 UTC | 63% |
| 8 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 63% |
| 7 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 62% |
| 7 Oct, 22:32 UTC | 61% |
| 7 Oct, 22:12 UTC | 63% |
| 7 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 62% |
| 7 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 61% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 62% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 61% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 63% |
| 6 Oct, 06:33 UTC | 62% |
| 6 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 61% |
| 6 Oct, 01:16 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Oct, 18:14 UTC | 61% |
| 5 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 62% |
| 5 Oct, 14:01 UTC | 61% |
| 5 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 61% |
| 5 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 61% |
| 4 Oct, 21:05 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 61% |
| 4 Oct, 18:33 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 61% |
| 4 Oct, 16:55 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 15:05 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Oct, 13:05 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 00:41 UTC | 61% |
| 3 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 19:42 UTC | 63% |
| 3 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 18:09 UTC | 61% |
| 3 Oct, 16:00 UTC | 62% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 10 Oct 2026. CNET published first, on 10 October at 00:00 UTC; SkySports followed 9h 31m later. The most recent article, from SkySports, appeared on 10 October at 09:31 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: CNET, SkySports.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Arsenal — the market puts it at 65%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 13 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the 2026-27 English Premier League title. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific championship. Readers often mistake the linked story about Mikel Arteta’s contract for a resolution condition, but only the league title matters.
- Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-10? — the market puts it at 12%, with $125k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 10 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Leeds United FC wins the match scheduled for October 10, 2026, based on the result within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If the game is canceled with no make-up match, or if Leeds does not win, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the final whistle time for the deadline, but the market remains open until the game is completed if it is postponed.
- Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? — the market puts it at 62%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 30 May 2027. Yes resolves if Arsenal finishes first in the 2026-27 EPL standings; No resolves if any other team wins or if Arsenal is mathematically eliminated from contention. The market also resolves to Other if the season ends without a winner by June 14, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of who will win the title rather than a binary outcome based on the final standings.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Arsenal 65% +2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-10? 12% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? 62% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Arsenal
- Leeds