Joe Burrow Overtakes Josh Allen as NFL MVP Betting Favorite
Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow has surpassed Buffalo Bills star Josh Allen to become the leading favorite for NFL MVP honors in sports betting markets.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by www.espn.com, 5h 07m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 34% |
| 12 Nov, 13:43 UTC | 34% |
| 12 Nov, 10:06 UTC | 34% |
| 12 Nov, 09:59 UTC | 34% |
| 12 Nov, 06:36 UTC | 34% |
| 12 Nov, 05:42 UTC | 34% |
| 12 Nov, 03:15 UTC | 34% |
| 11 Nov, 03:36 UTC | 33% |
| 11 Nov, 02:07 UTC | 33% |
| 11 Nov, 01:53 UTC | 34% |
| 11 Nov, 01:26 UTC | 34% |
| 11 Nov, 00:44 UTC | 33% |
| 10 Nov, 21:50 UTC | 31% |
| 10 Nov, 21:08 UTC | 31% |
| 10 Nov, 20:27 UTC | 31% |
| 10 Nov, 17:01 UTC | 31% |
| 10 Nov, 16:04 UTC | 31% |
| 10 Nov, 15:50 UTC | 31% |
| 10 Nov, 15:03 UTC | 31% |
| 10 Nov, 14:48 UTC | 31% |
| 10 Nov, 14:19 UTC | 31% |
| 10 Nov, 13:57 UTC | 31% |
| 10 Nov, 12:26 UTC | 31% |
| 10 Nov, 11:55 UTC | 30% |
| 10 Nov, 10:41 UTC | 30% |
| 10 Nov, 10:26 UTC | 30% |
| 10 Nov, 09:53 UTC | 30% |
| 10 Nov, 08:39 UTC | 30% |
| 10 Nov, 08:17 UTC | 31% |
| 10 Nov, 07:04 UTC | 30% |
| 10 Nov, 06:23 UTC | 30% |
| 10 Nov, 05:56 UTC | 30% |
| 10 Nov, 05:29 UTC | 30% |
| 10 Nov, 04:55 UTC | 30% |
| 10 Nov, 04:22 UTC | 30% |
| 10 Nov, 03:55 UTC | 30% |
| 10 Nov, 03:28 UTC | 30% |
| 10 Nov, 02:47 UTC | 30% |
| 10 Nov, 02:14 UTC | 29% |
| 9 Nov, 23:25 UTC | 28% |
| 9 Nov, 22:58 UTC | 28% |
| 9 Nov, 22:03 UTC | 28% |
| 9 Nov, 21:21 UTC | 28% |
| 9 Nov, 20:11 UTC | 28% |
| 9 Nov, 19:58 UTC | 28% |
| 9 Nov, 18:26 UTC | 28% |
| 9 Nov, 17:23 UTC | 28% |
| 9 Nov, 16:47 UTC | 28% |
| 9 Nov, 15:58 UTC | 28% |
| 9 Nov, 15:16 UTC | 28% |
| 9 Nov, 14:29 UTC | 28% |
| 9 Nov, 13:53 UTC | 28% |
| 9 Nov, 09:50 UTC | 28% |
| 9 Nov, 08:30 UTC | 28% |
| 9 Nov, 08:16 UTC | 28% |
| 9 Nov, 07:56 UTC | 28% |
| 9 Nov, 05:50 UTC | 26% |
| 9 Nov, 05:23 UTC | 27% |
| 9 Nov, 04:56 UTC | 27% |
| 9 Nov, 04:29 UTC | 27% |
| 9 Nov, 03:48 UTC | 29% |
| 9 Nov, 03:28 UTC | 29% |
| 9 Nov, 02:54 UTC | 28% |
| 9 Nov, 02:27 UTC | 28% |
| 9 Nov, 01:46 UTC | 28% |
| 9 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 26% |
| 9 Nov, 00:49 UTC | 26% |
| 9 Nov, 00:09 UTC | 28% |
| 8 Nov, 23:44 UTC | 31% |
| 8 Nov, 22:59 UTC | 32% |
| 8 Nov, 22:01 UTC | 31% |
| 8 Nov, 21:48 UTC | 33% |
| 8 Nov, 21:29 UTC | 33% |
| 8 Nov, 20:43 UTC | 33% |
| 8 Nov, 20:23 UTC | 32% |
| 8 Nov, 19:44 UTC | 31% |
| 8 Nov, 19:16 UTC | 31% |
| 8 Nov, 18:56 UTC | 31% |
| 8 Nov, 18:16 UTC | 31% |
| 8 Nov, 17:22 UTC | 29% |
| 8 Nov, 16:47 UTC | 26% |
| 8 Nov, 16:14 UTC | 25% |
| 8 Nov, 15:54 UTC | 26% |
| 8 Nov, 15:28 UTC | 19% |
| 8 Nov, 14:26 UTC | 16% |
| 8 Nov, 01:05 UTC | 17% |
| 6 Nov, 03:37 UTC | 17% |
| 6 Nov, 03:23 UTC | 17% |
| 6 Nov, 02:29 UTC | 17% |
| 5 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 17% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will Joe Burrow win the 2026 NFL MVP? respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 5 articles since 10 Nov 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 10 November at 16:21 UTC; SI Feed followed 5h 07m later. The most recent article, from www.espn.com, appeared on 12 November at 12:24 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), The Guardian Sport (major outlet), SI Feed.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Joe Burrow win the 2026 NFL MVP? — the market puts it at 34%, with $656 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Mar 2027. Yes resolves if Joe Burrow is named the 2026 NFL MVP. No resolves if any other player wins the award or if the season ends without a winner. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the regular season, but the resolution depends on the official MVP announcement.
- Joe Burrow — the market puts it at 33%, with $7k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 12 Feb 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Joe Burrow is named the Associated Press NFL Regular Season MVP for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of who will win the Super Bowl or confuse the AP award with other honors.
- Joe Burrow — the market puts it at 2%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 21 Feb 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Joe Burrow wins the AP Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season. The outcome depends solely on this specific award, not on his team's performance or individual game statistics. Readers often mistake the resolution deadline, which is determined by the award announcement date rather than the end of the regular season.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Joe Burrow win the 2026 NFL MVP? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- www.espn.comSportsbook liability Burrow overtakes Allen as NFL MVP favorite31%
- SI FeedKalshi NFL MVP Market: Joe Burrow vs Josh Allen31%
- SI FeedReigning NFL MVP Matthew Stafford Makes Big Statement About Joe Burrow33%▲2 points since the previous source
- The Guardian SportNFL midseason awards: Allen’s brilliance, a Seahawks shocker and a new Super Bowl pick34%▲1 points since the previous source
- www.espn.comBarnwell's NFL midseason awards: The top candidates to win MVP, Rookie of the Year, more34%
- Current odds34%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Barnwell's NFL midseason awards: The top candidates to win MVP, Rookie of the Year, more www.espn.com ·
- NFL midseason awards: Allen’s brilliance, a Seahawks shocker and a new Super Bowl pick The Guardian Sport ·
- Sportsbook liability Burrow overtakes Allen as NFL MVP favorite www.espn.com ·
- Reigning NFL MVP Matthew Stafford Makes Big Statement About Joe Burrow SI Feed
- Kalshi NFL MVP Market: Joe Burrow vs Josh Allen SI Feed
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will Joe Burrow win the 2026 NFL MVP? 34% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Joe Burrow · MVP Winner? 33%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Joe Burrow · Comeback Player of the Year Winner? 2% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
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In this story
- Joe Burrow
- Josh Allen
- Bengals
- Buffalo Bills