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Scotland lose 3-0 to Switzerland in Sébastien Pocognoli's first home match

Ten-man Scotland suffered a 3-0 defeat to Switzerland in the Nations League, marking a difficult start to Sébastien Pocognoli's tenure as head coach.

3 publishers · 24 articles · first seen 21 Sept 2026 · updated 37d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

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The odds

How the odds moved · Scotland
0%50%100%1%24 Sept, 12:39 UTCnowThe Guardian Sport: Switzerland’s Rodríguez and Elvedi punish Scotland after Hendry’s early red card · 29 Sept, 20:51 UTCThe Guardian Sport: ‘Football with a smile’: Pocognoli wants happy Gilmour to tee up Scotland success · 28 Sept, 22:54 UTCThe Guardian Sport: McTominay’s role a poser for Pocognoli as Scotland offer positives in Slovenia · 27 Sept, 21:30 UTCThe Guardian Sport: Pocognoli’s reign as Scotland coach begins with stalemate in Slovenia · 26 Sept, 15:19 UTCThe Guardian Sport: Pocognoli deserves time but Scottish FA must also prove their credentials · 25 Sept, 13:13 UTCBBC Sport: Space for Gannon-Doak? Does McGinn keep place? Welsh to return? - key questions for Pocognoli · 1 Oct, 13:38 UTCBBC Sport: You are the Scotland boss - what would you do? · 1 Oct, 06:17 UTCBBC Sport: Will Pocognoli change goalkeeper after Swiss loss? · 30 Sept, 09:39 UTCSkySports: Pocognoli's 'sad' Hampden debut as he urges immediate response · 30 Sept, 08:29 UTCBBC Sport: New coach, new players, but same old failings hamper Scotland · 29 Sept, 22:30 UTCSkySports: Ten-man Scotland beaten by Switzerland in Pocognoli's first match at Hampden · 29 Sept, 21:11 UTCBBC Sport: You are the Scotland boss - what would you change for Switzerland? · 28 Sept, 07:46 UTCBBC Sport: From turgid to thrusting - mixed start for new Scotland · 27 Sept, 07:14 UTCSkySports: What did Pocognoli change in first Scotland game in charge? · 26 Sept, 17:20 UTCBBC Sport: Gilmour catalyst, impressive Welsh, but same issue for Scotland? · 26 Sept, 17:05 UTCSkySports: Slovenia hold Scotland to draw in Pocognoli's first game in charge · 26 Sept, 15:22 UTCBBC Sport: Scotland rue missed chances in Slovenia draw · 26 Sept, 15:19 UTCSkySports: Ure, McBurnie start in Pocognoli's first Scotland XI...have your say LIVE! · 26 Sept, 12:06 UTCBBC Sport: Pocognoli may require patience to deliver on Scotland shake-up · 26 Sept, 08:28 UTCBBC Sport: 'New-look squad, but how will Pocognoli's Scotland line-up?' · 25 Sept, 13:21 UTCBBC Sport: You are the new Scotland boss - what would you do? · 25 Sept, 07:04 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 3 more published before price tracking began

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now1%
24 Sept, 12:39 UTC1%

The story so far

3 publishers have covered this in 24 articles since 21 Sept 2026. BBC Sport published first, on 21 September at 13:49 UTC; SkySports followed 25h 40m later. The most recent article, from BBC Sport, appeared on 1 October at 13:38 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), BBC Sport, SkySports.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Scotland — the market puts it at 1%, closing 15 Aug 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Scotland wins the 2028 UEFA European Championship. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific tournament. Readers often mistake the linked story about a player's debut for the actual resolution criteria.
  • Will Scotland win on 2026-10-03? — resolved “Yes” on 3 Oct 2026. Scotland wins if they score more goals than their opponent during the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time of the match scheduled for October 3, 2026. The market resolves to No if the game ends in a draw or loss, is canceled without a make-up, or remains open indefinitely if postponed.
  • Scotland — resolved “Yes” on 3 Oct 2026. Scotland must win the UEFA Nations League match against North Macedonia within the standard 90 minutes of play, including any added stoppage time, for the outcome to be Yes. The result does not include extra time or penalty shootouts. Readers often mistakenly believe that a draw or a victory in extra time counts toward the Yes outcome.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Scotland at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. BBC SportHow is Scotland squad shaping up for Pocognoli debut?—
  2. SkySportsScotland's Pocognoli has 'good mix' as he eyes winning start to his reign—
  3. BBC SportPocognoli has 'positive nervousness' for Scotland debut—
  4. BBC SportYou are the new Scotland boss - what would you do?1%
  5. The Guardian SportPocognoli deserves time but Scottish FA must also prove their credentials1%
  6. BBC Sport'New-look squad, but how will Pocognoli's Scotland line-up?'1%
  7. BBC SportPocognoli may require patience to deliver on Scotland shake-up1%
  8. SkySportsUre, McBurnie start in Pocognoli's first Scotland XI...have your say LIVE!1%
  9. The Guardian SportPocognoli’s reign as Scotland coach begins with stalemate in Slovenia1%
  10. BBC SportScotland rue missed chances in Slovenia draw1%
  11. Show 14 later sources
    1. SkySportsSlovenia hold Scotland to draw in Pocognoli's first game in charge1%
    2. BBC SportGilmour catalyst, impressive Welsh, but same issue for Scotland?1%
    3. SkySportsWhat did Pocognoli change in first Scotland game in charge?1%
    4. BBC SportFrom turgid to thrusting - mixed start for new Scotland1%
    5. The Guardian SportMcTominay’s role a poser for Pocognoli as Scotland offer positives in Slovenia1%
    6. BBC SportYou are the Scotland boss - what would you change for Switzerland?1%
    7. The Guardian Sport‘Football with a smile’: Pocognoli wants happy Gilmour to tee up Scotland success1%
    8. The Guardian SportSwitzerland’s Rodríguez and Elvedi punish Scotland after Hendry’s early red card1%
    9. SkySportsTen-man Scotland beaten by Switzerland in Pocognoli's first match at Hampden1%
    10. BBC SportNew coach, new players, but same old failings hamper Scotland1%
    11. SkySportsPocognoli's 'sad' Hampden debut as he urges immediate response1%
    12. BBC SportWill Pocognoli change goalkeeper after Swiss loss?1%
    13. BBC SportYou are the Scotland boss - what would you do?1%
    14. BBC SportSpace for Gannon-Doak? Does McGinn keep place? Welsh to return? - key questions for Pocognoli1%
  12. Current odds1%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Switzerland’s Rodríguez and Elvedi punish Scotland after Hendry’s early red card The Guardian Sport ·
  2. ‘Football with a smile’: Pocognoli wants happy Gilmour to tee up Scotland success The Guardian Sport ·
  3. McTominay’s role a poser for Pocognoli as Scotland offer positives in Slovenia The Guardian Sport ·
  4. Pocognoli’s reign as Scotland coach begins with stalemate in Slovenia The Guardian Sport ·
  5. Pocognoli deserves time but Scottish FA must also prove their credentials The Guardian Sport ·
  6. Space for Gannon-Doak? Does McGinn keep place? Welsh to return? - key questions for Pocognoli BBC Sport
Show 18 more sources
  1. You are the Scotland boss - what would you do? BBC Sport
  2. Will Pocognoli change goalkeeper after Swiss loss? BBC Sport
  3. Pocognoli's 'sad' Hampden debut as he urges immediate response SkySports
  4. New coach, new players, but same old failings hamper Scotland BBC Sport
  5. Ten-man Scotland beaten by Switzerland in Pocognoli's first match at Hampden SkySports
  6. You are the Scotland boss - what would you change for Switzerland? BBC Sport
  7. From turgid to thrusting - mixed start for new Scotland BBC Sport
  8. What did Pocognoli change in first Scotland game in charge? SkySports
  9. Gilmour catalyst, impressive Welsh, but same issue for Scotland? BBC Sport
  10. Slovenia hold Scotland to draw in Pocognoli's first game in charge SkySports
  11. Scotland rue missed chances in Slovenia draw BBC Sport
  12. Ure, McBurnie start in Pocognoli's first Scotland XI...have your say LIVE! SkySports
  13. Pocognoli may require patience to deliver on Scotland shake-up BBC Sport
  14. 'New-look squad, but how will Pocognoli's Scotland line-up?' BBC Sport
  15. You are the new Scotland boss - what would you do? BBC Sport
  16. Pocognoli has 'positive nervousness' for Scotland debut BBC Sport
  17. Scotland's Pocognoli has 'good mix' as he eyes winning start to his reign SkySports
  18. How is Scotland squad shaping up for Pocognoli debut? BBC Sport

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Scotland 1% $0 24hends 15 Aug 2028

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Resolved Will Scotland win on 2026-10-03? Yes 34d ago

    The market favoured Yes at 56% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

  • Resolved Scotland Yes 35d ago

    The market favoured Yes at 56% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Sébastien Pocognoli
  • Scotland
  • Switzerland
  • Nations League
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