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Scotland

Implied probability 55%+6
24-hour volume$264
Total volume$13k
Liquidity$13k
Resolves5 Oct 2026

Why it moved: +4 points at 22:53 UTC, after BBC Sport: New coach, new players, but same old failings hamper Scotland — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Scotland
0%50%100%55%27 Sept, 19:03 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now55%
29 Sept, 22:53 UTC55%
29 Sept, 05:53 UTC51%
28 Sept, 19:18 UTC48%
27 Sept, 19:03 UTC78%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

Scotland must win the UEFA Nations League match against North Macedonia within the standard 90 minutes of play, including any added stoppage time, for the outcome to be Yes. The result does not include extra time or penalty shootouts. Readers often mistakenly believe that a draw or a victory in extra time counts toward the Yes outcome.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 55%
  • No 45%

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