Playwright Richard Nelson Returns to Apple Family Saga After Trump's Return

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 1 Nov 2026. The New York Times published first, on 1 November at 10:00 UTC.

2 prediction markets price this story:

• Before 2028 — the market puts it at 7%, closing 7 Nov 2028. The outcome is Yes if any member of the Donald J. Trump family is nominated as the 2028 Republican presidential candidate before 2028. The outcome is No if this nomination does not occur within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of 2027, but the condition applies to any time before 2028.
• Yes — the market puts it at 83%, closing 21 Jan 2029. The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump, his immediate family, or their spouses receive a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve before January 21, 2029. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about diesel mechanics for the triggering event, but only pardons granted to the specified individuals count.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.