Philippines Raises Alert as Mayon Volcano Erupts
The eruption sent ash plumes 3,000 metres above the summit, prompting authorities to raise the alert level.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 29 Oct, 07:11 UTC | 5% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 30 Oct 2026. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera published first, on 30 October at 07:37 UTC; Times of India followed 1h 21m later. The most recent article, from Times of India, appeared on 30 October at 08:58 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), Times of India.
One prediction market prices this story:
- At least 3 — the market puts it at 5%, closing 29 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if three or more VEI-4 volcanic eruptions occur globally with a GVP-attributed start date in 2026. It resolves to No if fewer than three such eruptions happen during that year. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Mayon Volcano as the sole determining factor, but the resolution depends on the total global count of VEI-4 events, not just this single eruption.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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- Kalshi At least 3 5%
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In this story
- Mayon Volcano
- Philippines