PepsiCo Earnings Beat Estimates While Lowering Full-Year Forecast Hot: Odds moved 27 points in 24 hours
The company reported quarterly earnings that exceeded analyst expectations, yet it reduced its full-year financial guidance due to lagging performance in North America.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 94% |
| 8 Oct, 12:45 UTC | 77% |
| 8 Oct, 12:09 UTC | 65% |
| 8 Oct, 11:32 UTC | 70% |
| 8 Oct, 10:38 UTC | 65% |
| 8 Oct, 10:23 UTC | 56% |
| 7 Oct, 09:41 UTC | 68% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 8 Oct 2026. CNBC published first, on 8 October at 10:06 UTC; Quartz followed 1h 34m later. The most recent article, from Quartz, appeared on 8 October at 11:40 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: CNBC (major outlet), Quartz.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Celsius — the market puts it at 94%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Mar 2027. The market resolves to Yes if any PepsiCo representative mentions Celsius during the upcoming earnings call or its question-and-answer session. It resolves to No if the brand is not mentioned in that specific event. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the mention must occur before the call starts rather than during it.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Celsius 94% +27
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In this story
- PepsiCo