Penn State vs. Northwestern Week 5 Predictions and Odds
Analysts provide predictions for the Friday college football matchup between Penn State and Northwestern.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 53% |
| 30 Sept, 15:39 UTC | 53% |
| 29 Sept, 15:38 UTC | 54% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 1 Oct 2026. CBS Sports Headlines published first, on 1 October at 15:58 UTC; SI Feed followed 6h 47m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 1 October at 22:46 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: CBS Sports Headlines, SI Feed.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Spread: Penn State (-2.5) — the market puts it at 53%, with $95 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Oct 2026. Penn State wins if they beat Northwestern by three points or more. Otherwise, Northwestern wins. The result depends on the final score of the completed game.
- Penn State vs. Northwestern — the market puts it at 56%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Oct 2026. Penn State wins if they score more points than Northwestern in regulation or overtime. Northwestern wins if they score more points than Penn State in regulation or overtime. Readers often forget that overtime counts toward the final result, not just regulation time.
- 6+ wins — the market puts it at 72%, with $40 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Northwestern records six or more victories during the 2026 college football regular season. It resolves to No if the team finishes with fewer than six wins. Readers often mistake the deadline, assuming the count includes postseason bowl games rather than only regular-season results.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Polymarket Spread: Penn State (-2.5) 53%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Penn State vs. Northwestern 56%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi 6+ wins 72% +4
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Penn State
- Northwestern