Peltola Leads Sullivan in Alaska Senate Race: AARP Poll
Former Rep. Mary Peltola leads Sen. Dan S. Sullivan by five points in a new AARP poll of the Alaska Senate contest.
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The odds
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Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 28% |
| 19 Sept, 08:09 UTC | 28% |
| 18 Sept, 03:19 UTC | 33% |
| 17 Sept, 15:11 UTC | 34% |
| 16 Sept, 15:11 UTC | 35% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 17 Sept 2026. The Hill published first, on 17 September at 15:00 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? — the market puts it at 28%, with $5k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2026.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Related prediction markets
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- Polymarket Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? 28% −5
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In this story
- Dan S. Sullivan
- Mary Peltola
- AARP