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Sabalenka beats Pegula to set up US Open final clash with Rybakina

Aryna Sabalenka defeats Jessica Pegula in the semifinals to advance to the US Open women's singles final against Elena Rybakina.

11 publishers · 23 articles · first seen 9 Sept 2026 · updated 41d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

First reported by www.espn.com, 44 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The odds

How the odds moved · US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina
0%50%100%0%11 Sept, 18:39 UTCnowThe Guardian Sport: Aryna Sabalenka v Elena Rybakina: US Open 2026 women’s singles final – live · 12 Sept, 18:30 UTCAl Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina live: US Open women’s singles final 2026 · 12 Sept, 17:07 UTCAl Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: Sabalenka vs Rybakina: US Open women’s singles final – start, prize, form · 11 Sept, 21:28 UTCwww.espn.com: Experts' picks: Who will win the clash of big hitters in the US Open women's championship match? · 11 Sept, 19:17 UTCSI Feed: U.S. Open 2026 Women’s Final: Elena Rybakina Defeats Aryna Sabalenka, Secures Place As World No. 1 · 12 Sept, 23:26 UTCCBS Sports Headlines: 2026 US Open results: Elena Rybakina earns third grand slam title in upset of Aryna Sabalenka · 12 Sept, 23:00 UTCfeeds.bleacherreport.com: Elena Rybakina Beats Aryna Sabalenka to Win 2026 US Open Women's Final Bracket · 12 Sept, 22:41 UTCSkySports: US Open LIVE! Sabalenka takes on Rybakina in blockbuster women's final · 12 Sept, 19:18 UTCCNET: US Open 2026 Women’s Singles Final: How to Watch Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina · 12 Sept, 18:07 UTCCBS Sports Headlines: US Open odds: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina picks, predictions for women's singles final on Saturday · 12 Sept, 12:00 UTCSI Feed: U.S. Open 2026 Women’s Final: Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina’s Rivalry Heats Up · 12 Sept, 12:00 UTCSkySports: Will it be a Sabalenka 'three-peat' or maiden US Open for new No 1 Rybakina? · 11 Sept, 20:04 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 11 more published before price tracking began

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now0%
13 Sept, 05:26 UTC0%
12 Sept, 22:40 UTC7%
12 Sept, 22:26 UTC35%
12 Sept, 21:58 UTC39%
12 Sept, 21:20 UTC33%
12 Sept, 20:59 UTC36%
12 Sept, 20:23 UTC57%
12 Sept, 19:21 UTC58%
12 Sept, 18:39 UTC56%
11 Sept, 18:39 UTC56%

The story so far

11 publishers have covered this in 23 articles since 9 Sept 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 9 September at 04:02 UTC; Latest articles followed 45 min later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 12 September at 23:26 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), The Guardian Sport (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), Latest articles, Times of India, BBC Sport, SkySports, SI Feed, CBS Sports Headlines, CNET, feeds.bleacherreport.com.

One prediction market prices this story:

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. www.espn.comPegula outduels Navarro in all-American US Open quarterfinal—
  2. Latest articlesPegula sets up Sabalenka rematch for third successive U.S. Open semi—
  3. Times of IndiaPegula vs Navarro: The $15 billion 'battle' that dwarfed Djokovic, Federer and Nadal's wealth—
  4. www.espn.comUS Open semifinals: Will Pegula or Sabalenka come out on top?—
  5. www.espn.comSabalenka rolls past Pegula, will vie for three-peat in US Open final—
  6. Times of IndiaSabalenka storms past Pegula, closes in on historic US Open three-peat—
  7. BBC SportSabalenka storms past Pegula to reach US Open final—
  8. The Guardian USAryna Sabalenka on brink of US Open trifecta after blitzing Jessica Pegula—
  9. SkySportsRybakina denies Gauff to set up blockbuster US Open final with Sabalenka—
  10. Latest articles‘Desperate’ Sabalenka books U.S. Open title clash with Rybakina—
  11. Show 13 later sources
    1. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraSabalenka beats Pegula to set up Rybakina epic in US Open final—
    2. www.espn.comExperts' picks: Who will win the clash of big hitters in the US Open women's championship match?56%
    3. SkySportsWill it be a Sabalenka 'three-peat' or maiden US Open for new No 1 Rybakina?56%
    4. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraSabalenka vs Rybakina: US Open women’s singles final – start, prize, form56%
    5. SI FeedU.S. Open 2026 Women’s Final: Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina’s Rivalry Heats Up56%
    6. CBS Sports HeadlinesUS Open odds: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina picks, predictions for women's singles final on Saturday56%
    7. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraAryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina live: US Open women’s singles final 202656%
    8. CNETUS Open 2026 Women’s Singles Final: How to Watch Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina56%
    9. The Guardian SportAryna Sabalenka v Elena Rybakina: US Open 2026 women’s singles final – live56%
    10. SkySportsUS Open LIVE! Sabalenka takes on Rybakina in blockbuster women's final56%▲1 points since the previous source
    11. feeds.bleacherreport.comElena Rybakina Beats Aryna Sabalenka to Win 2026 US Open Women's Final Bracket7%▼49 points since the previous source
    12. CBS Sports Headlines2026 US Open results: Elena Rybakina earns third grand slam title in upset of Aryna Sabalenka7%
    13. SI FeedU.S. Open 2026 Women’s Final: Elena Rybakina Defeats Aryna Sabalenka, Secures Place As World No. 17%
  12. Market resolved: Elena Rybakina

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Aryna Sabalenka v Elena Rybakina: US Open 2026 women’s singles final – live The Guardian Sport ·
  2. Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina live: US Open women’s singles final 2026 Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
  3. Sabalenka vs Rybakina: US Open women’s singles final – start, prize, form Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
  4. Experts' picks: Who will win the clash of big hitters in the US Open women's championship match? www.espn.com ·
  5. Sabalenka beats Pegula to set up Rybakina epic in US Open final Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
  6. Aryna Sabalenka on brink of US Open trifecta after blitzing Jessica Pegula The Guardian US ·
Show 17 more sources
  1. Sabalenka rolls past Pegula, will vie for three-peat in US Open final www.espn.com ·
  2. US Open semifinals: Will Pegula or Sabalenka come out on top? www.espn.com ·
  3. Pegula outduels Navarro in all-American US Open quarterfinal www.espn.com ·
  4. U.S. Open 2026 Women’s Final: Elena Rybakina Defeats Aryna Sabalenka, Secures Place As World No. 1 SI Feed
  5. 2026 US Open results: Elena Rybakina earns third grand slam title in upset of Aryna Sabalenka CBS Sports Headlines
  6. Elena Rybakina Beats Aryna Sabalenka to Win 2026 US Open Women's Final Bracket feeds.bleacherreport.com
  7. US Open LIVE! Sabalenka takes on Rybakina in blockbuster women's final SkySports
  8. US Open 2026 Women’s Singles Final: How to Watch Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina CNET
  9. US Open odds: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina picks, predictions for women's singles final on Saturday CBS Sports Headlines
  10. U.S. Open 2026 Women’s Final: Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina’s Rivalry Heats Up SI Feed
  11. Will it be a Sabalenka 'three-peat' or maiden US Open for new No 1 Rybakina? SkySports
  12. ‘Desperate’ Sabalenka books U.S. Open title clash with Rybakina Latest articles
  13. Rybakina denies Gauff to set up blockbuster US Open final with Sabalenka SkySports
  14. Sabalenka storms past Pegula to reach US Open final BBC Sport
  15. Sabalenka storms past Pegula, closes in on historic US Open three-peat Times of India
  16. Pegula vs Navarro: The $15 billion 'battle' that dwarfed Djokovic, Federer and Nadal's wealth Times of India
  17. Pegula sets up Sabalenka rematch for third successive U.S. Open semi Latest articles

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Resolved US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Elena Rybakina 41d ago

    The market favoured Aryna Sabalenka at 56% a day out, but Elena Rybakina won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

In this story

  • Aryna Sabalenka
  • Elena Rybakina
  • Jessica Pegula
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