Pasifika Pride Shines at Rugby League World Cup as Tonga Beats Lebanon
Tongan supporters in western Sydney celebrate their heritage while Mate Ma'a Tonga defeats Lebanon at the tournament.
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The odds
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Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 31 Oct, 00:02 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 13:47 UTC | 31% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 29 Oct 2026. The Guardian Sport published first, on 29 October at 14:00 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Tonga — the market puts it at 3%, with $1 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 13 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Tonga wins the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific tournament. Readers often mistake this for any rugby victory, but only the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup title counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Related prediction markets
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- Kalshi Tonga 3% −28
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In this story
- Tonga
- Lebanon
- Mate Ma'a Tonga