Panama Panel Recommends Restart of First Quantum Mine to Fund Closure

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 30 Sept 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 30 September at 14:25 UTC.

2 prediction markets price this story:

• During Trump's term — the market puts it at 18%, with $547 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Jan 2029. The market resolves to Yes if the United States government takes control of any part of the Panama Canal before January 20, 2029. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story about tariffs for the relevant event, but only actual control of the canal counts.
• Panama — the market puts it at 3%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Panama officially recognizes Palestine before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if that recognition does not occur by the deadline. Readers often mistake the linked story about a mine restart for the actual diplomatic action required.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.