Padres Closer Mason Miller Misses NLDS Game 3 on Paternity List
San Diego Padres closer Mason Miller is unavailable for NLDS Game 3 due to a paternity list placement, prompting Michael King to close the victory.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 1 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 96% |
| 8 Oct, 01:22 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Oct, 07:27 UTC | 99% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Mason Miller respond.
The story so far
4 publishers have covered this in 9 articles since 6 Oct 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 6 October at 00:00 UTC; SI Feed followed 13h 59m later. The most recent article, from CBS Sports Headlines, appeared on 7 October at 21:33 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), SI Feed, CBS Sports Headlines, feeds.bleacherreport.com.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Mason Miller — the market puts it at 96%, with $12 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Dec 2026. The outcome is Yes if Mason Miller wins the 2026 National League Reliever of the Year award. The outcome is No if he does not win that specific honor. Readers often mistake the linked news story about his paternity leave as relevant to the resolution, but only the final award result matters.
- Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series? — the market puts it at 3%, with $5k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Dec 2026. The "Yes" outcome occurs if the San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series. The "No" outcome applies if any other team wins or if the Padres are eliminated from contention. Readers often mistake the linked story about Shohei Ohtani for a direct indicator of the series winner, but only the final championship result matters.
- Mason Miller — the market puts it at 1%, closing 8 Dec 2026. The outcome is Yes if Mason Miller wins the 2026 World Series MVP award; otherwise, it is No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about his paternity leave as relevant to this resolution. The deadline for this event is the conclusion of the 2026 World Series.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Mason Miller at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- www.espn.comPadres dismiss notion Miller is tipping pitches: 'On top of it'—
- SI FeedBrewers React to Mason Miller Pitch Tipping Allegations on Social Media99%
- CBS Sports HeadlinesPadres closer Mason Miller insists he wasn't tipping pitches after Game 2 blown save to Brewers99%
- SI FeedPadres To Be Without Mason Miller for NLDS Game 3, And Potentially Longer99%
- www.espn.comPadres star closer Miller on paternity list ahead of pivotal Game 399%
- feeds.bleacherreport.comPadres' Michael King Reveals When He Found Out He'd Replace Mason Miller As Closer in Video99%
- SI FeedPadres Notes: Mason Miller Away From Team, Adrian Morejon Availability in Question, Game 4 Starter Announced99%
- SI FeedIs Mason Miller Back? Latest on Padres All-Star Closer’s Availability for NLDS Game 499%
- CBS Sports HeadlinesMason Miller back for Game 4 after brief paternity list stint as Padres try to stave off elimination99%
- Current odds96%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Padres star closer Miller on paternity list ahead of pivotal Game 3 www.espn.com ·
- Padres dismiss notion Miller is tipping pitches: 'On top of it' www.espn.com ·
- Mason Miller back for Game 4 after brief paternity list stint as Padres try to stave off elimination CBS Sports Headlines
- Is Mason Miller Back? Latest on Padres All-Star Closer’s Availability for NLDS Game 4 SI Feed
- Padres Notes: Mason Miller Away From Team, Adrian Morejon Availability in Question, Game 4 Starter Announced SI Feed
- Padres' Michael King Reveals When He Found Out He'd Replace Mason Miller As Closer in Video feeds.bleacherreport.com
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Mason Miller 96% −3
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series? 3% −4
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Mason Miller 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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