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Olivia Rodrigo Announces 'Expectations' Remix With Chappell Roan Hot: Odds moved 15 points in 24 hours

The pop stars will release the track and an accompanying music video on Thursday.

4 publishers · 5 articles · first seen 12 Oct 2026 · updated 1h ago

The odds

How the odds moved · Chappell Roan
0%50%100%90%12 Oct, 16:53 UTCnowThe Hollywood Reporter: Olivia Rodrigo Announces “Expectations” Remix With Chappell Roan · 13 Oct, 16:57 UTCVariety: Olivia Rodrigo and Chappell Roan Team Up for ‘Expectations’ Remix and Music Video · 13 Oct, 16:18 UTCBillboard: Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan to Work Out Their ‘Expectations’ on the Remix: Here’s When It Arrives · 13 Oct, 16:46 UTCConsequence: Olivia Rodrigo Announces “expectations” Remix with Chappell Roan · 13 Oct, 16:28 UTCBillboard: Olivia Rodrigo Teases a Potential Pop Collaboration: ‘Olivia Does Remixes Now’ · 12 Oct, 20:53 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now90%
13 Oct, 17:14 UTC90%
12 Oct, 16:53 UTC75%

The story so far

4 publishers have covered this in 5 articles since 12 Oct 2026. Billboard published first, on 12 October at 20:53 UTC; Variety followed 19h 25m later. The most recent article, from The Hollywood Reporter, appeared on 13 October at 16:57 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Variety (major outlet), The Hollywood Reporter (major outlet), Billboard, Consequence.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Chappell Roan — the market puts it at 90%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Chappell Roan releases a new song in 2026. It resolves to No if she does not release a new song during that year. Readers often mistake the linked story about Olivia Rodrigo for the triggering event, but only Chappell Roan's own releases count.
  • Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 24? — the market puts it at 2%, with $7k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 21 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Olivia Rodrigo’s album holds the top spot on the Billboard 200 chart dated for the week of October 24, 2026. It resolves to No if any other album ranks higher on that specific chart. Readers often mistake the publication date of the chart for the relevant timeframe, but the resolution depends strictly on the chart labeled with that specific week.
  • Olivia Rodrigo — the market puts it at 8%, closing 31 Dec 2027. The outcome is Yes if Olivia Rodrigo headlines Coachella in 2027. The outcome is No if she does not headline that specific event. Readers often mistake the linked story about a food vendor for the actual resolution criteria.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Olivia Rodrigo Announces “Expectations” Remix With Chappell Roan The Hollywood Reporter ·
  2. Olivia Rodrigo and Chappell Roan Team Up for ‘Expectations’ Remix and Music Video Variety ·
  3. Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan to Work Out Their ‘Expectations’ on the Remix: Here’s When It Arrives Billboard
  4. Olivia Rodrigo Announces “expectations” Remix with Chappell Roan Consequence
  5. Olivia Rodrigo Teases a Potential Pop Collaboration: ‘Olivia Does Remixes Now’ Billboard

Markets on this story

  • Kalshi Chappell Roan 90% +15 $1k 24hends 8 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Polymarket Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 24? 2% −5 $7k 24hends 21 Oct 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Olivia Rodrigo 8% $0 24hends 31 Dec 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Olivia Rodrigo
  • Chappell Roan
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