Ohio State Defeats Iowa Behind Jeremiah Smith's Historic Performance
Jeremiah Smith leads Ohio State to a 31-14 victory over Iowa, silencing doubts about his dominance in college football.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 21:03 UTC | 11% |
| 1 Oct, 16:06 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 20:01 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 04:20 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Sept, 19:25 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 17:57 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Sept, 16:47 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 2% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Sept, 13:30 UTC | 2% |
| 28 Sept, 13:20 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Sept, 10:53 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Sept, 09:57 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Sept, 09:26 UTC | 2% |
| 28 Sept, 06:59 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Sept, 04:15 UTC | 2% |
| 28 Sept, 03:57 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Sept, 03:03 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Sept, 02:48 UTC | 2% |
| 27 Sept, 21:43 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Sept, 21:15 UTC | 2% |
| 27 Sept, 03:12 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Sept, 00:42 UTC | 1% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Iowa respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 10 articles since 30 Sept 2026. SI Feed published first, on 30 September at 11:30 UTC; feeds.bleacherreport.com followed 83h 35m later. The most recent article, from www.espn.com, appeared on 3 October at 23:52 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), SI Feed, feeds.bleacherreport.com.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Iowa — the market puts it at 2%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 28 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Iowa finishes the 2026 college football regular season without any losses. The outcome depends solely on the team's win-loss record during that specific season, not on individual game scores or bowl results. Readers often mistake the resolution trigger for a single game victory rather than the entire regular-season performance.
- 8+ wins — the market puts it at 78%, with $16 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the Iowa college football team secures at least eight wins during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if the team finishes that season with fewer than eight wins. Readers often mistake the deadline, assuming it depends on playoff results rather than just the regular season record.
- Iowa — the market puts it at 6%, with $26 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 10 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Iowa qualifies for the 2026 College Football Big Ten Championship Game. It resolves to No if Iowa does not qualify. Readers often mistake the linked game result as the deciding factor, but only official qualification for the championship matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Iowa at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- SI FeedBiggest Defensive Question for Iowa vs Ohio State: How do the Hawkeyes Handle Jeremiah Smith?3%
- SI FeedKirk Ferentz Says Iowa Will Need a Perfect Game to Upset Ohio State3%
- SI FeedWhat Ohio State Must Do Offensively to Take Down Iowa3%
- SI FeedJulian Sayin Reveals What Ohio State Must Improve Before Iowa3%
- SI FeedOhio State Captain Kenyatta Jackson Jr. Has a Blunt Message Before Iowa3%
- SI FeedOhio State on SI Week 5 Picks: Can Ohio State Ruin Iowa's Early Momentum?3%
- SI FeedIowa Football Keys to Victory vs Ohio State: Just Get to the 4th Quarter3%
- feeds.bleacherreport.comJeremiah Smith, Sayin's Box Score Stats, Highlights, Heisman Hype from Ohio State vs. Iowa2%▼1 points since the previous source
- SI FeedWhat Went Right - And Very Wrong - For Iowa Football Against Ohio State2%
- www.espn.comSayin-Smith connection leads No. 5 Ohio State past No. 14 Iowa2%
- Current odds2%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Sayin-Smith connection leads No. 5 Ohio State past No. 14 Iowa www.espn.com ·
- What Went Right - And Very Wrong - For Iowa Football Against Ohio State SI Feed
- Jeremiah Smith, Sayin's Box Score Stats, Highlights, Heisman Hype from Ohio State vs. Iowa feeds.bleacherreport.com
- Iowa Football Keys to Victory vs Ohio State: Just Get to the 4th Quarter SI Feed
- Ohio State on SI Week 5 Picks: Can Ohio State Ruin Iowa's Early Momentum? SI Feed
- Ohio State Captain Kenyatta Jackson Jr. Has a Blunt Message Before Iowa SI Feed
Show 4 more sources
- Julian Sayin Reveals What Ohio State Must Improve Before Iowa SI Feed
- What Ohio State Must Do Offensively to Take Down Iowa SI Feed
- Kirk Ferentz Says Iowa Will Need a Perfect Game to Upset Ohio State SI Feed
- Biggest Defensive Question for Iowa vs Ohio State: How do the Hawkeyes Handle Jeremiah Smith? SI Feed
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Iowa 2% −1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi 8+ wins 78%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Iowa 6% −3
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
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