No. 8 Florida Falls to No. 25 Missouri in 45-17 Defeat Hot: Odds moved 17 points in 24 hours
Florida suffers its first loss of the 2026 season after being defeated by Missouri.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 71% |
| 4 Oct, 17:54 UTC | 71% |
| 1 Oct, 05:40 UTC | 81% |
| 30 Sept, 10:36 UTC | 82% |
| 30 Sept, 05:24 UTC | 85% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 84% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 77% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 79% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch 8+ wins respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 3 Oct 2026. SI Feed published first, on 3 October at 23:32 UTC; CBS Sports Headlines followed 17h 55m later. The most recent article, from CBS Sports Headlines, appeared on 4 October at 17:27 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: SI Feed, CBS Sports Headlines.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- 8+ wins — the market puts it at 71%, with $898 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the Florida college football team achieves at least eight wins during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if they fall short of that win total. Readers often mistakenly include playoff games or bowl games in the count, but only regular-season results matter.
- 7+ wins — the market puts it at 38%, with $323 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the Florida State college football team records at least seven wins during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if the team finishes with fewer than seven wins in that specific season. Readers often mistake the linked story about a past defeat for the final outcome, but only the total win count from the entire 2026 regular season determines the result.
- 7+ wins — the market puts it at 59%, with $496 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the Missouri college football team wins at least seven games during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if they win fewer than seven games. Readers often mistake the linked story about a past defeat for the final outcome, but only the total count of wins in the 2026 regular season matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on 8+ wins at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- SI FeedInstant Recap: No. 8 Florida Humbled in 45-17 Defeat at No. 25 Missouri81%
- SI FeedFive Key Quotes from Jon Sumrall After Florida's Loss to Missouri81%
- CBS Sports HeadlinesCoaches Poll top 25: Florida tumbles after blowout loss to Missouri, while statement win helps Tigers rise81%
- Current odds71%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi 8+ wins 71% −14
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- Kalshi 7+ wins 38% +10
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- Kalshi 7+ wins 59% +17
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