7+ wins
Why it moved: +22 points at 17:54 UTC, after CBS Sports Headlines: Coaches Poll top 25: Florida tumbles after blowout loss to Missouri, while statement win helps Tigers rise — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 38% |
| 4 Oct, 17:54 UTC | 38% |
| 3 Oct, 17:06 UTC | 16% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Florida State college football team records at least seven wins during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if the team finishes with fewer than seven wins in that specific season. Readers often mistake the linked story about a past defeat for the final outcome, but only the total win count from the entire 2026 regular season determines the result.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 38%
- No 62%