No. 1 Texas Falls to Oklahoma in Red River Rivalry Upset
The top-ranked Longhorns lose their first game of the season, 27-24, to rival Oklahoma in Dallas.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 2 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 9% |
| 12 Oct, 03:44 UTC | 9% |
| 12 Oct, 01:37 UTC | 9% |
| 11 Oct, 05:30 UTC | 9% |
| 11 Oct, 04:53 UTC | 10% |
| 11 Oct, 03:38 UTC | 9% |
| 11 Oct, 00:57 UTC | 10% |
| 10 Oct, 23:30 UTC | 13% |
| 10 Oct, 20:47 UTC | 14% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship? respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 8 articles since 8 Oct 2026. SI Feed published first, on 8 October at 17:00 UTC; feeds.bleacherreport.com followed 55h 39m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 12 October at 22:28 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: SI Feed, feeds.bleacherreport.com.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship? — the market puts it at 9%, closing 26 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Texas wins the 2026-27 College Football Playoff national championship. It resolves to No if Texas loses or is eliminated before winning. Readers often mistake the linked Kentucky-Texas A&M game for relevant information, but only the final CFP champion matters.
- Steve Sarkisian — the market puts it at 1%, closing 29 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Steve Sarkisian wins the Bear Bryant Coach of the Year award during the 2026-27 college football season. The outcome is No if he does not win that specific award in that season. Readers often mistake the linked news story about coaching staff changes as relevant to the resolution, but only the award result matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- SI FeedSteve Sarkisian Faces a Major Test of His Offensive Patience—
- SI FeedSteve Sarkisian Has a Chance to Make a Statement Against Oklahoma—
- feeds.bleacherreport.comEverything Steve Sarkisian Said After Arch Manning, No. 1 Texas Upset By Oklahoma in Rivalry Game13%
- SI FeedSteve Sarkisian Has to Find a Fix Fast After Texas’s Costly Loss to Oklahoma9%▼4 points since the previous source
- SI FeedSpecial Teams Has Become A Major Problem for the Texas Longhorns9%
- SI FeedSteve Sarkisian's Costly Fourth Quarter Decision Haunts Texas Against Oklahoma9%
- SI FeedSteve Sarkisian Has Some Explaining to Do After Texas' Loss to Oklahoma9%
- SI FeedSteve Sarkisian Makes Odd Comparison to Texas' Offensive Struggles9%
- Current odds9%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Steve Sarkisian Makes Odd Comparison to Texas' Offensive Struggles SI Feed
- Steve Sarkisian Has Some Explaining to Do After Texas' Loss to Oklahoma SI Feed
- Steve Sarkisian's Costly Fourth Quarter Decision Haunts Texas Against Oklahoma SI Feed
- Special Teams Has Become A Major Problem for the Texas Longhorns SI Feed
- Steve Sarkisian Has to Find a Fix Fast After Texas’s Costly Loss to Oklahoma SI Feed
- Everything Steve Sarkisian Said After Arch Manning, No. 1 Texas Upset By Oklahoma in Rivalry Game feeds.bleacherreport.com
- Steve Sarkisian Has a Chance to Make a Statement Against Oklahoma SI Feed
- Steve Sarkisian Faces a Major Test of His Offensive Patience SI Feed
Markets on this story
- Polymarket Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship? 9%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Steve Sarkisian 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Steve Sarkisian
- Texas Longhorns
- Oklahoma Sooners
- Arch Manning