Texas
Implied probability 21%−5
24-hour volume$65
Total volume$45k
Liquidity$45k
Resolves25 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 21% |
| 12 Oct, 20:16 UTC | 21% |
| 12 Oct, 12:05 UTC | 23% |
| 11 Oct, 21:49 UTC | 26% |
| 11 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 21% |
| 11 Oct, 20:02 UTC | 22% |
| 11 Oct, 19:33 UTC | 23% |
| 11 Oct, 17:39 UTC | 22% |
| 10 Oct, 16:52 UTC | 33% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Texas reaches the College Football Playoff National Championship Game. The outcome is No if Texas does not reach that game. Readers often mistake the linked story about a player's commitment as relevant, but only the team's playoff status matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 21%
- No 79%