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NFL Week 4 Odds and Predictions for Colts-Commanders London Showdown Hot: $163k traded on its market in 24 hours

Experts analyze matchups and odds for the Indianapolis Colts versus Washington Commanders game in London.

2 publishers · 5 articles · first seen 1 Oct 2026 · updated 3h ago

The odds

How the odds moved · Colts vs. Commanders
0%50%100%65%27 Sept, 18:53 UTCnowCBS Sports Headlines: NFL Week 4 odds, predictions, expert picks: Who wins 49ers-Broncos showdown? Colts or Commanders in London? · 2 Oct, 11:53 UTCSI Feed: 3 Questions the Colts Need to Answer Against the Commanders · 1 Oct, 20:02 UTCSI Feed: 3 Matchups That Will Decide Colts Week 4 Game Against Commanders · 1 Oct, 18:24 UTCSI Feed: Colts Head Coach Details Plan for Overseas Matchup Against Commanders · 1 Oct, 12:00 UTCSI Feed: 3 Colts Players Who Could Give the Commanders Problems in Week 4 · 1 Oct, 00:08 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now65%
1 Oct, 19:12 UTC65%
30 Sept, 14:50 UTC64%
29 Sept, 20:11 UTC64%
29 Sept, 18:05 UTC63%
29 Sept, 15:59 UTC64%
29 Sept, 05:53 UTC65%
28 Sept, 19:18 UTC64%
28 Sept, 18:54 UTC62%
27 Sept, 18:53 UTC68%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 5 articles since 1 Oct 2026. SI Feed published first, on 1 October at 00:08 UTC; CBS Sports Headlines followed 35h 45m later. The most recent article, from CBS Sports Headlines, appeared on 2 October at 11:53 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: SI Feed, CBS Sports Headlines.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Colts vs. Commanders — the market puts it at 65%, with $67k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 4 Oct 2026. The Colts outcome resolves if they win the scheduled NFL game on October 4. The Commanders outcome resolves if they win that same game. Readers often mistake the resolution source, but the result depends solely on the official game winner, not betting lines or predictions.
  • Washington — the market puts it at 35%, with $163k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 6 Oct 2026. Washington must win the NFL game against the Indianapolis Colts scheduled for October 4, 2026, for the outcome to be Yes. The result depends solely on the official final score of that specific match. Readers often mistake the linked story about a past game against the Seahawks as relevant to this future event.
  • Spread: Colts (-3.5) — the market puts it at 52%, with $53k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 4 Oct 2026. The Colts outcome triggers if they win by four points or more. The Commanders outcome applies if they win, tie, or if the Colts win by three points or less. Readers often mistake the point spread for a simple winner-take-all bet rather than a margin of victory requirement.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Colts vs. Commanders at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. SI Feed3 Colts Players Who Could Give the Commanders Problems in Week 464%
  2. SI FeedColts Head Coach Details Plan for Overseas Matchup Against Commanders64%
  3. SI Feed3 Matchups That Will Decide Colts Week 4 Game Against Commanders64%
  4. SI Feed3 Questions the Colts Need to Answer Against the Commanders65%▲1 points since the previous source
  5. CBS Sports HeadlinesNFL Week 4 odds, predictions, expert picks: Who wins 49ers-Broncos showdown? Colts or Commanders in London?65%
  6. Current odds65%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. NFL Week 4 odds, predictions, expert picks: Who wins 49ers-Broncos showdown? Colts or Commanders in London? CBS Sports Headlines
  2. 3 Questions the Colts Need to Answer Against the Commanders SI Feed
  3. 3 Matchups That Will Decide Colts Week 4 Game Against Commanders SI Feed
  4. Colts Head Coach Details Plan for Overseas Matchup Against Commanders SI Feed
  5. 3 Colts Players Who Could Give the Commanders Problems in Week 4 SI Feed

Markets on this story

  • Polymarket Colts vs. Commanders 65% +1 $67k 24hends 4 Oct 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Washington 35% −2 $163k 24hends 6 Oct 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Polymarket Spread: Colts (-3.5) 52% +1 $53k 24hends 4 Oct 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • SportsLine
  • Colts
  • Commanders
  • Shane Steichen
  • Marcus Mariota
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