New York Times in Talks to Buy Letterboxd for $330 Million Hot: Odds moved 29 points in 24 hours
The New York Times Company is in exclusive negotiations to acquire the film community site Letterboxd for approximately $330 million.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by The New York Times, 46 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 50% |
| 6 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 50% |
| 4 Nov, 22:20 UTC | 21% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Netflix respond.
The story so far
6 publishers have covered this in 6 articles since 5 Nov 2026. The New York Times published first, on 5 November at 22:51 UTC; Variety followed 46 min later. The most recent article, from Consequence, appeared on 6 November at 00:24 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The New York Times (major outlet), Variety (major outlet), The Verge (major outlet), TechCrunch (major outlet), IndieWire, Consequence.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Netflix — the market puts it at 50%, with $950 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2028. The outcome is Yes if Netflix publicly announces an agreement to buy Letterboxd before January 1, 2028. The outcome is No if this announcement does not happen by that date. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the year rather than the specific day in 2028.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Netflix at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- The New York TimesNew York Times Company in Advanced Talks to Acquire Letterboxd21%
- VarietyLetterboxd in Negotiations to Be Acquired by New York Times Company21%
- The VergeThe New York Times is in talks to buy Letterboxd for around $330 million21%
- IndieWireLetterboxd Finalizing $330 Million Sale to The New York Times21%
- TechCrunchThe New York Times reportedly in talks to buy Letterboxd for $330 million21%
- ConsequenceThe New York Times in “Advanced Talks” to Buy Letterboxd21%
- Current odds50%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- The New York Times reportedly in talks to buy Letterboxd for $330 million TechCrunch ·
- The New York Times is in talks to buy Letterboxd for around $330 million The Verge ·
- Letterboxd in Negotiations to Be Acquired by New York Times Company Variety ·
- New York Times Company in Advanced Talks to Acquire Letterboxd The New York Times ·
- The New York Times in “Advanced Talks” to Buy Letterboxd Consequence
- Letterboxd Finalizing $330 Million Sale to The New York Times IndieWire
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Netflix 50% +29
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In this story
- Letterboxd
- Sony Pictures Entertainment
- A24