Netflix
Why it moved: +29 points at 00:55 UTC, after Consequence: The New York Times in “Advanced Talks” to Buy Letterboxd — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 50% |
| 6 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 50% |
| 4 Nov, 22:20 UTC | 21% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Netflix publicly announces an agreement to buy Letterboxd before January 1, 2028. The outcome is No if this announcement does not happen by that date. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the year rather than the specific day in 2028.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 50%
- No 50%