New York Bans Horse Carriages After Decade-Long Debate
The New York City Council voted to prohibit horse-drawn carriages, ending a historic tourist tradition amid divided public opinion.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 95% |
| 22 Oct, 22:18 UTC | 96% |
| 22 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 98% |
| 22 Oct, 21:23 UTC | 97% |
| 22 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 97% |
| 22 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 98% |
| 22 Oct, 19:37 UTC | 92% |
| 22 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 92% |
| 22 Oct, 18:49 UTC | 96% |
| 22 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 95% |
| 22 Oct, 15:50 UTC | 97% |
| 22 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 93% |
| 22 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 92% |
| 22 Oct, 10:46 UTC | 94% |
| 22 Oct, 04:55 UTC | 85% |
| 22 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 92% |
| 21 Oct, 23:00 UTC | 96% |
| 21 Oct, 22:31 UTC | 92% |
| 21 Oct, 21:48 UTC | 96% |
| 21 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 92% |
| 21 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 96% |
| 21 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 95% |
| 21 Oct, 09:33 UTC | 91% |
| 21 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 95% |
| 21 Oct, 05:48 UTC | 93% |
| 21 Oct, 03:50 UTC | 94% |
| 21 Oct, 01:31 UTC | 96% |
| 21 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 91% |
| 20 Oct, 23:57 UTC | 93% |
| 20 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 92% |
| 20 Oct, 16:20 UTC | 94% |
| 20 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 96% |
| 20 Oct, 06:02 UTC | 94% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 95% |
| 17 Oct, 19:44 UTC | 97% |
| 17 Oct, 13:48 UTC | 95% |
| 17 Oct, 13:09 UTC | 96% |
| 17 Oct, 06:21 UTC | 95% |
| 17 Oct, 05:35 UTC | 96% |
| 17 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 95% |
| 16 Oct, 22:55 UTC | 96% |
| 16 Oct, 19:48 UTC | 95% |
| 16 Oct, 18:31 UTC | 96% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 22 Oct 2026. BBC News published first, on 22 October at 09:06 UTC; Bloomberg.com followed 11h 36m later. The most recent article, from Bloomberg.com, appeared on 22 October at 20:42 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg.com (major outlet), BBC News.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Yes — the market puts it at 95%, with $21k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a law banning horse-drawn carriages for hire becomes effective in New York City before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the headline's mention of 2028 as the deadline, but the actual cutoff is January 1, 2027.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
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- Kalshi Yes 95% −1
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In this story
- New York City Council
- Central Park