Nations League live: Scotland face North Macedonia as Spain take on Czechia
Luke John McGinn faces scrutiny over his form for Scotland during the Nations League campaign.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 39% |
| 5 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 37% |
| 5 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 41% |
| 5 Oct, 14:09 UTC | 38% |
| 5 Oct, 09:01 UTC | 42% |
| 5 Oct, 05:43 UTC | 40% |
| 5 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 38% |
| 5 Oct, 02:07 UTC | 43% |
| 5 Oct, 00:36 UTC | 36% |
| 5 Oct, 00:11 UTC | 46% |
| 4 Oct, 23:58 UTC | 38% |
| 4 Oct, 21:50 UTC | 43% |
| 4 Oct, 21:05 UTC | 45% |
| 4 Oct, 19:07 UTC | 44% |
| 4 Oct, 16:48 UTC | 45% |
| 4 Oct, 13:32 UTC | 44% |
| 4 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 45% |
| 4 Oct, 11:36 UTC | 46% |
| 4 Oct, 08:04 UTC | 45% |
| 4 Oct, 07:31 UTC | 46% |
| 4 Oct, 07:12 UTC | 36% |
| 4 Oct, 06:01 UTC | 46% |
| 4 Oct, 05:17 UTC | 47% |
| 4 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 50% |
| 4 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 41% |
| 4 Oct, 01:20 UTC | 42% |
| 3 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 49% |
| 3 Oct, 23:03 UTC | 42% |
| 3 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 45% |
| 3 Oct, 22:16 UTC | 45% |
| 3 Oct, 21:50 UTC | 46% |
| 3 Oct, 21:03 UTC | 39% |
| 3 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 45% |
| 3 Oct, 19:36 UTC | 48% |
| 3 Oct, 19:22 UTC | 46% |
| 3 Oct, 18:16 UTC | 42% |
| 3 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 51% |
| 3 Oct, 16:32 UTC | 49% |
| 3 Oct, 16:13 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 51% |
| 3 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 50% |
| 3 Oct, 12:15 UTC | 48% |
| 3 Oct, 08:48 UTC | 40% |
| 3 Oct, 05:10 UTC | 40% |
| 3 Oct, 04:24 UTC | 48% |
| 2 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 52% |
| 2 Oct, 21:05 UTC | 50% |
| 2 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 41% |
| 2 Oct, 19:36 UTC | 58% |
| 2 Oct, 19:16 UTC | 46% |
| 2 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Oct, 16:57 UTC | 41% |
| 2 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 42% |
| 2 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 32% |
| 2 Oct, 15:16 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Oct, 14:35 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 32% |
| 2 Oct, 08:32 UTC | 41% |
| 2 Oct, 08:09 UTC | 32% |
| 2 Oct, 03:55 UTC | 34% |
| 1 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 38% |
| 1 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 42% |
| 1 Oct, 19:48 UTC | 40% |
| 1 Oct, 17:38 UTC | 35% |
| 1 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 34% |
| 1 Oct, 15:00 UTC | 35% |
| 1 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 34% |
| 1 Oct, 13:46 UTC | 31% |
| 1 Oct, 13:06 UTC | 35% |
| 1 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 42% |
| 30 Sept, 19:01 UTC | 43% |
| 30 Sept, 17:28 UTC | 40% |
| 30 Sept, 16:59 UTC | 42% |
| 30 Sept, 04:13 UTC | 43% |
| 30 Sept, 03:42 UTC | 43% |
| 30 Sept, 02:28 UTC | 41% |
| 30 Sept, 01:01 UTC | 45% |
| 30 Sept, 00:03 UTC | 44% |
| 29 Sept, 22:38 UTC | 57% |
| 29 Sept, 21:17 UTC | 40% |
| 29 Sept, 20:42 UTC | 57% |
| 29 Sept, 20:18 UTC | 49% |
| 29 Sept, 07:48 UTC | 37% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 42% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 57% |
| 28 Sept, 11:55 UTC | 33% |
| 28 Sept, 02:48 UTC | 61% |
| 27 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 32% |
| 27 Sept, 20:36 UTC | 31% |
| 27 Sept, 19:05 UTC | 32% |
| 27 Sept, 16:44 UTC | 63% |
| 27 Sept, 13:55 UTC | 64% |
| 27 Sept, 10:15 UTC | 42% |
| 27 Sept, 05:43 UTC | 64% |
| 27 Sept, 01:17 UTC | 62% |
| 26 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 55% |
| 26 Sept, 21:58 UTC | 54% |
| 26 Sept, 19:16 UTC | 65% |
| 26 Sept, 15:23 UTC | 66% |
| 25 Sept, 20:11 UTC | 64% |
| 25 Sept, 19:39 UTC | 63% |
| 25 Sept, 17:20 UTC | 36% |
| 25 Sept, 06:03 UTC | 38% |
| 25 Sept, 05:02 UTC | 64% |
| 25 Sept, 04:11 UTC | 65% |
| 25 Sept, 02:13 UTC | 66% |
| 24 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 67% |
| 23 Sept, 20:54 UTC | 0% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 3 Oct 2026. The Guardian Sport published first, on 3 October at 17:48 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Spain — the market puts it at 39%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 28 Jun 2027. The outcome is Yes if Spain wins the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League tournament. The outcome is No if any other team wins that specific title. Readers often mistake this for the current year's competition or confuse it with winning a single match rather than the entire championship.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Spain 39% −6
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Luke John McGinn
- Scotland
- North Macedonia
- Spain
- Czechia