Spain
Why it moved: +67 points at 21:25 UTC, after BBC Sport: Felix gives Portugal win over Wales in Nations League opener — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 38% |
| 25 Sept, 06:03 UTC | 38% |
| 25 Sept, 05:02 UTC | 64% |
| 25 Sept, 04:11 UTC | 65% |
| 25 Sept, 02:13 UTC | 66% |
| 24 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 67% |
| 23 Sept, 20:54 UTC | 0% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Spain wins the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League tournament. The outcome is No if any other team wins that specific title. Readers often mistake this for the current year's competition or confuse it with winning a single match rather than the entire championship.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 38%
- No 62%